sagt JP Morgan
J.P. Morgan believes the solar industry’s fundamentals are sound, at least in the first half this year. Here are analysts Paul Coster, Mark Strouse, and Paul J Chung:
2014 should be a good year for the solar industry owing to strong demand for PV solar capacity in China and Japan, capacity constraints across tier 1 module manufacturers, stabilizing polysilicon and module prices, and improving business models. We expect 2014 to start out strong, with PV suppliers’ gross margins trending into the 15-20% range, EBIT margins ticking up into single digits, and improving balance sheet health.
However, the risk is on the second half, when new capacity or new technology, attracted to improving business conditions, could enter the market:
Risks escalate in 2H14 when new capacity could enter the market, Japanese deployments peak, and potentially disruptive next-gen technology arrives.......
J.P. Morgan has a Buy rating on First Solar and SolarCity. It does not cover the individual Chinese solar companies yet.
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