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2023 Beaver Creek Notes
(Part 1)
DON DURRETT
SEP 14
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Beaver Creek Notes (Companies I liked).
Endeavour Silver
Current production: 6M oz AG.
Teronera will add 3M oz of AG production in 2025.
AISC will drop.
Pitarilla will add about 6M oz of AG production in 2027
Looking to grow via acquisitions.
Want to remain in silver. They understand the value of the silver niche.
Prints as a potential 20 bagger at $100 silver if when they reach 15M oz AG production.
Risk: Silver prices remain low.
International Tower Hill Mines
Permits expected in 2026 or 2027.
50% insiders (they are not selling)
$70M mkt cap
13M oz. deposit. Will begin production at 350K annually
Excellent location near Fairbanks, Alaska.
Prints as a potential 20 bagger at $3K gold when they are in production at 350K oz.
Risk: Long wait until first pour.
West Red Lake Mining
Rowan: Recent drill hole of 8M at 70 gpt
Rowan deposit currently 800,000 oz, but likely to at least double in size.
Madsen: 2M oz deposit. Acquired from Pure Gold bankruptcy.
Insiders: 11% Frank Guistra, 22% Sprott (they are not selling)
Madsen: Need to drill 12-18 months to gain confidence to restart the mine.
Madsen Mine Restart 18-24 months.
60K-80K oz annual production to start.
In 2-3 years, truck ore from Rowan to the Madsen mill.
Combined production from Madsen and Rowan should be around 125K year.
Prints as a potential 10 bagger at $3K gold at 125K oz production.
Risk: Potential ramp-up issues.
Montage Gold
Large gold project in West Africa (Cote d'Ivoire)
5M oz deposit.
300K year production at $1000 AISC
$650M Capex
Very close to financing (looks likely to happen).
2-year build
Permits expected in less than 12 months.
Construction in 2024.
Excellent management team.
Exploration potential.
$70M mkt cap
Prints as a potential 20 bagger at $3K gold at 300,000 oz production.
Risk: Needs financing.
Silver Tiger
170M oz AGEQ
PEA 2023 OP
PFS March 2024 OP
UG permitted. Applied for OP permitted.
5K strike
Should grow in size
UG 5 million tons at 450 gpt AGEQ, or 14 opt = 70M oz
UG: 4M oz year silver
OP: 80K oz year gold
Prints as a potential 20 bagger at $3K gold /$100 silver at 80K oz gold production and 4M oz silver production.
Risk: needs open pit permit.
Americas Gold & Silver
Galena (Idaho)
120M oz silver deposit
75% of costs are fixed.
$8M capex to expand production
2024 Production of 1.8M oz at $20 ASIC
2025 Production of 2.7M oz at $11 ASIC
2028 Production of 5M oz at $10 ASIC
Cosala (Mexico)
2024 Production at 3M oz AG at $9 AISC
8 years reserve
Exploration potential will expand the mine life
Silver Production (combined)
2023 2.5M oz at AISC $18
2024 4.5M oz at AISC $14
2025 5.5M oz at AISC $14
2028 7M oz at AISC $14
2028 gold production of 50K at AISC $2100
Relief Canyon (Nevada)
Placed on C&M in Aug 2021
50,000 oz potential annual gold production
Capex to restart: $5M
AISC: $2100
Probably needs $2300 to restart
8 years mine life, but exploration potential
Owe 16K oz (over 2.5 years after restart)
Cash: $2M
Debt: $16M Convertible, $2M loans
Prints as a potential 20 bagger at $3K gold /$100 silver at 50K oz gold production and 7M oz silver production.
Risk: Silver prices remain low.
Chesapeake Gold
Low grade. Only 50% of revenue from silver.
2024 Q1 Metalurgy testing completed
Expected recovery rate of 70-75%
2024: PFS. Begin Permitting
2025: DFS
2026: Construction (18-month build)
2027-28: Production.
One lease that covers 15% of the deposit is currently under a legal challenge.
Prints as a potential 20 bagger at $3K gold at 300,000 oz production.
Risk: Permitting. Legal issue with one lease.
Discovery Silver
12-18 months to permit
33M oz AGEQ.
Revenue 50% silver.
AISC $13
IRR 28% at $22
DFS: February 2024
Capex: $500M to $530M
Prints as a potential 30 bagger at $100 silver at 33M oz AGEQ production.
Risk: Permitting.
GoGold
Los Ricos South
PEA: $148M capex to produce 8M oz AGEQ annually at $9 AGEQ AISC
Submitted UG permits
Open at depth
1750 tpd UG
4000 tpd OP (Year 4 to year 11)
2025 7M oz AGEQ
2026 9M oz AGEQ
2026 build Los Ricos North
2027 16M oz AGEQ (could slip to 2028)
Prints as a potential 20 bagger at $100 silver at 16M oz AGEQ production.
Risk: Permits.