$NIO - JP Morgan sees 'relatively limited competition' in premium segment, says chip shortage impact also 'limited', remains positive on stock
"The stock has pulled back significantly by 36% since mid-Feb (vs. broader OEMs -33% or MXCN -18%), likely due to sentiment (of favoring value over growth), liquidity and concerns over chip shortages, as well as impending mounting competition especially after the Shanghai Auto Show (April 21-28). For the demand and supply equation in the NEV market, we believe it is now a consensus view that demand will be very robust and we agree that competition will intensify in 2H21 after numerous new models arrive. Nevertheless, in Nio’s target premium segment, we expect relatively limited competition and orecast the company to double its sales to 90k units vs. 44k last year. On near-term chip shortage and production shortfall, we believe the impact on 12-month forward earnings will be limited if supply tightness eases towards year end, as we anticipate. Nio is scheduled to report 1Q21 results around May 28th . We expect a further uptick in revenue (YoY and QoQ) and continued expansion in margins. We retain our full-year estimate unchanged for now."
[street-guru.com/opinion/...s-positive-on-stock_20210328_615/)
preview.redd.it/...s=9ba5085007436c5ccf4ec7d0f9b974aa8df286fa
"The stock has pulled back significantly by 36% since mid-Feb (vs. broader OEMs -33% or MXCN -18%), likely due to sentiment (of favoring value over growth), liquidity and concerns over chip shortages, as well as impending mounting competition especially after the Shanghai Auto Show (April 21-28). For the demand and supply equation in the NEV market, we believe it is now a consensus view that demand will be very robust and we agree that competition will intensify in 2H21 after numerous new models arrive. Nevertheless, in Nio’s target premium segment, we expect relatively limited competition and orecast the company to double its sales to 90k units vs. 44k last year. On near-term chip shortage and production shortfall, we believe the impact on 12-month forward earnings will be limited if supply tightness eases towards year end, as we anticipate. Nio is scheduled to report 1Q21 results around May 28th . We expect a further uptick in revenue (YoY and QoQ) and continued expansion in margins. We retain our full-year estimate unchanged for now."
[street-guru.com/opinion/...s-positive-on-stock_20210328_615/)
preview.redd.it/...s=9ba5085007436c5ccf4ec7d0f9b974aa8df286fa