Das es JCP nicht gut geht weis wohl jeder der hier investiert ist . Das genau ist doch das interessante. Wir spekulieren darauf das es JCP bald besser geht. Ich hoffe das Deine Frage damit beantwortet ist
Zu den Bonds habe ich heute auch was gefunden bin mir nur nicht sicher ob es sich um die
von Dir angesprochenen CDS (Credit Default Swaps) handelt
Stressed retailer bonds like J.C. Penney are looking like a buy: Barclays
blogs.marketwatch.com/behindthestorefront/...e-a-buy-barclays/
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By Ben Eisen
Credit markets tend to be segmented by how well underlying bonds are performing. There are the blue-chip corporate bonds that are making timely payments with little risk of default — the Apples AAPL +1.34% and General Electrics GE -0.34% of the world.
Then there are the distressed credits that are not performing and often result in a bankruptcy or other type of restructuring. Think American Airlines Group Inc. AAL +0.54% when it was under court protection.
But between those two silos lies the stressed sector, which Barclays strategists say may be ripe for opportunity. And a number of those high-yield names poised for a jump higher in prices are retailers.
Let’s be clear that such bonds aren’t for the faint of heart. It takes careful analysis to sift through the different risks to final repayment on the bonds. But where there’s risk there’s also opportunity. Bradley Rogoff, head of U.S. credit strategy at Barclays, leads a team of researchers who conclude:
“Within the credit market, performing and distressed are well-understood states for issuers. Stressed, on the other hand, is a more nebulous and transitory condition that we think creates unique opportunities for credit investors.”
Here’s the crux of the “transitory” nature of those bonds: 80% of those trading at an option-adjusted premium of 800 to 1,200 basis points above comparable Treasurys either see those premiums shrink or grow within 12 months, Rogoff writes. But there’s a “strong bias” toward shrinking (see chart at left), and stressed names tend to move in unison. That means prices could rise and yields fall, increasing the value of the bonds.
There are a bunch of retail and consumer names in this group of credits, including J.C. Penney Co. Inc. JCP +0.69% , Sears Holding Corp. SHLD +2.01% , and private-equity-backed Toys ‘R’ Us (see below).