wieder mal ein Trade vom füxlein...


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NASDAQ 100 29.981,43 -0,05% Perf. seit Threadbeginn:   +1674,65%
 
a.z.:

Davon würde ich ernsthaft ausgehen, denn:

 
07.10.06 12:39
Schlusskurs NASDAQ = 32,59 $.
Macht in €: 25,865 (Faktor 1,26).
Das TOP vom 18.09. (Unterstützung) liegt mit 25,89 € darüber.
Also wurde formell die Unterstützung auf Schlußkursbasis unterschritten, damit wäre die "Südpassage" frei!

Aber: das ist alles graue Theorie, es geht um 0,03 € und das ist nix, liegt im Toleranzbereich der Chartmalerei und vielleicht mach ich auch irgendwo einen Fehler.
Wir werden sehen - sonst kriegen WIR halt auf die Mütze ...

Fundamental spricht jedoch alles weiterhin für die Richtigkeit der Annahme, daß AMZN einbrechen wird, und auch DAS sollte man nicht außer acht lassen.

Gruss und schönes WE - az

(Verkleinert auf 99%) vergrößern
wieder mal ein Trade vom füxlein... 60748
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börsenfüxlein:

@a.z.

 
07.10.06 13:15
was auch für uns spricht: Nasdaq sollte sich nach dem extremen Anstieg der vergangenen Tagen auch wieder mal ne Auszeit gönnen bzw. konsolidieren...das dürfte unserem Put auch etwas helfen...*g*


mal sehen...

füx
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börsenfüxlein:

Korrekturziele o. T.

 
07.10.06 14:30
(Verkleinert auf 94%) vergrößern
wieder mal ein Trade vom füxlein... 60763
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Wochenchart o. T.

 
07.10.06 14:52
Tripple-Top im November; anschließend böse Abverkäufe mit hohem Niveau bei Konsolidierungen mit geringem Niveau...Abwärtstrend auch noch voll intakt...nächste Woche könnte die nächste starke Abwärtsbewegung starten (hoffentlich *g*)

grüsse
füx
(Verkleinert auf 94%) vergrößern
wieder mal ein Trade vom füxlein... 60771
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a.z.:

Das GAP von Ende Juli ist zu!

 
10.10.06 19:53
Möglicherweise ist das der Auftakt zum erwarteten Kursverlauf nach Süden?

Gruss - az

(Verkleinert auf 58%) vergrößern
wieder mal ein Trade vom füxlein... 61295
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börsenfüxlein:

sehr negativer Bericht zu Amazon im

 
11.10.06 11:43
Wallstreet-Journal: könnte Auslöser für den (wichtigen) Rutsch unter 32,50 heute sein...


A Two-Hour Movie
(Just to Download)

Long Waits and Glitches Mar
Amazon, Apple Film Services;
The Screen Came Up Blank
By JESSICA E. VASCELLARO and SARAH MCBRIDE
October 11, 2006; Page D1

For Paul Kedrosky of San Diego, downloading the movie "Three Kings" off Amazon.com's new Unbox service a few weeks ago seemed a convenient way to save the trek to Blockbuster. But more than two hours, multiple error messages and one $9.99 charge later, the 40-year-old venture capitalist wasn't any closer to clicking the play button.

"I got suckered in," says Mr. Kedrosky, who couldn't get the software working on both his desktop and laptop and persuaded Amazon to give him a refund. "It is back to Blockbuster."

Amazon.com Inc. and Apple Computer Inc. recently launched highly anticipated movie downloading services, heralded as the juice that would make downloading and watching movies on a computer screen a new consumer habit. A month later, however, the services are off to a rocky start. Amazon.com, of Seattle, has had to placate consumers with refunds after some couldn't get the service to work. Customers of both services are reporting problems downloading the software on their machines and complaining of seemingly interminable download times, sometimes in excess of several hours. Picture quality and equipment requirements also are stumbling blocks.


The glitches aren't universal, and some customers say they are fully satisfied with the downloading services. Scott McNulty, a 29-year-old systems administrator at the University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School, says he had been downloading TV shows from Apple's iTunes Store and didn't mind waiting about two hours for a movie to download because he could do other things in the meantime. "The biggest thing is the convenience," he says.

Both Apple and Amazon caution that it is still early and say they are doing well. "We are very excited about how the service is performing so far," says Bill Carr, vice president of digital media for Amazon.com. He says the rate of customer-service calls is comparable with those generated by Amazon's other businesses. Apple is "off to a great start with movies," says Eddy Cue, Apple's vice president of iTunes, who says that in the first week alone iTunes sold 125,000 Disney movies.

Others, though, say the troubles show that movie downloading services must become more consumer-friendly before even savvy computer users will flock to them. "There are going to be some problems consumers may not be expecting," says Mike McGuire, an analyst at Gartner Inc., a market-research firm.

For years, the only legal way to get movies online on an a la carte basis was through CinemaNow Inc. and Movielink LLC, two little-known vendors. Another entrant, Vongo, offers an all-you-can-watch subscription plan for $9.99 a month. More recently, new entrants have cropped up, such as Guba.com, a site that offers movie sales and rentals along with video sharing. These other services in some cases have run into similar download-speed and software glitches but mostly suffered from a lack of visibility. Now the studios have expanded their deal making, hoping that by cutting deals with high-profile online retailers like iTunes and Amazon, they could turn more online pirates into customers.

The movie-download business is still an untapped niche. While consumers will buy 780 million music downloads this year for a total of more than $650 million in revenue, according to researcher Parks Associates, the market for movie downloads is far less, near $50 million.
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gestern Gap-Close mit schönen

 
11.10.06 11:45
Intraday-Trippletop...; nice *g*


wieder mal ein Trade vom füxlein... 61399
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Barrons Artikel über Amazon...

 
14.10.06 12:59
A LONG-TIME INVESTOR has been steadily reducing its stake in Amazon.com, even as the online retail giant enters its seasonally strong fourth-quarter.

Over the past three quarters, Trust Company of the West, or TCW, has slashed its stake in Amazon to 24.3 million shares, or 5.8%, from an 11% stake at the end of last year, according to a Securities and Exchange Commission filing Tuesday.

TCW, based in Los Angeles Calif., manages more than $53 billion in assets on behalf of institutions, endowments, foundations and high net worth individuals, according to StreetSight.net.

The firm held nearly 31.3 million Amazon shares at the end of the first calendar quarter (March 31) and 26.97 million shares at the end of the second quarter (June 30).

Amazon has been buying back stock, but StreetSight.net calculates the first and second quarter stakes at 7.5% and 6.4%, respectively.

This year, the stock fell from a two-year high of $50 last December to a four-year low of $25.76 on Aug. 11. Shares closed Friday at $33.32.

TCW declined to comment. Amazon did not return a call seeking comment by deadline.

Certainly the selling has slowed down as Amazon shares continued to slip and TCW still owns a large amount of Amazon shares.

However, Ben Silverman, director of research at InsiderScore.com, says, "When you have big money investors like TCW moving out of a stock or decreasing its exposure to the stock, it's certainly something to take notice of."

While firms like TCW will actively buy and sell shares, he adds, "this is the first time they have sold the stock for three consecutive quarters since 2001."

In late 2001, Amazon "was struggling for profitability, the bubble had burst and the valuation was totally out of whack," says Silverman. Now there is more concern about competitors eating away the Internet retailer's presence, such as with "big-box retailers expanding their online presence," he adds.

TCW reported it had a stake in Amazon of less than 1% of the online retailer's total shares from early 1999 through much of 2002. It crossed the 5% ownership threshold in the first quarter of 2003 and regularly built its stake up since then.

The bulk of these purchases took place as Amazon shares rallied from 2002 to 2004. The stock bottomed out at around $6 in late 2001. As such, Jonathan Moreland, director of research at InsiderInsights.com, says TCW has "done extremely well and it looks as though they are taking home their marble and plan on playing elsewhere."

"They can definitely declare victory and go home at this point given their past transactions," he adds.

Overall, though, Joshua Hong, director of research at OwnershipAnalyzer.com, says the institutional picture looks "neutral," with selling by shareholders such as TCW offset by others' purchases.

For instance, Legg Mason Value Trust has "increased its ownership stake for eight consecutive quarters," notes InsiderScore.com's Silverman.

The $18.7 billion Legg Mason fund is run by Bill Miller, who is known for beating the Standard & Poor's 500 stock index for the past 15 straight calendar years.

Legg Mason is Amazon's second largest shareholder, with an 18% stake (75.9 million shares) at the end of June. Amazon's founder, Jeffrey Bezos, holds a 24.2% stake. According to StreetSight.net, Amazon is also Legg Mason's second largest holding, valued at $2.9 billion, after Sprint Nextel.

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a.z.:

AMZN verlässt gerade

2
17.10.06 16:59
den im August begonnenen Aufwärtstrend nach unten.
Das Kursziel ist wohl zunächst in der Gegend von 29,- zu suchen.
DB8716 bekommt Junge ...

Gruss - az

wieder mal ein Trade vom füxlein... 62387
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jo...

 
18.10.06 08:14
Amzn steht auf der Kippe...leider nachbörslich wieder über 32,50 "gezogen worden) und Uptrend auch noch nicht signifikant gebrochen....wird spannend bleiben bis Freitag...


Kursziel 29 wäre schon ok *g*

nächsten Dienstag kommen die Zahlen

füx
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a.z.:

das war's dann wohl mit dem Put ...

 
25.10.06 12:26

good night - az

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