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2023 Beaver Creak Notes (Part 2)
Companies I liked.
DON DURRETT
SEP 15
READ IN APP
Tietto Minerals
Location: Cote D’Ivoire
4M oz at 1.2 gpt
2023 Production: 170K at $1100 AISC
$18 debt
$43 cash
CEO Engineer 46 (Hired in July). I liked him.
APG Heap Leach 75K, capex $90M to $100M, need permit less an year
Borrow $10 to $25M
2025 Production: 250K production at $1100 AISC
Agressive team. Want to grow via acquisition.
Insiders: Two Chinese companies 20%, Mgt 3%
Trading at 3x FCF
Potential 10-bagger at $3K gold at 250K oz production.
Risk: Location
Silver Mines
Location: Australia
400M oz AGEQ
170M oz AG
The resource does not include the high-grade silver below the pit. UG add-on likely.
DFS due in H1 2024
6M oz year AG
70% revenue from AG
Capex $225M
AISC: $10 (first 3 years)
Potential 10-bagger at $100 silver at 6M oz AG production.
Risk: Nothing significant
Nova Minerals
Location: Alaska
Project: Korbell
7M oz at .3 gpt
35K strike
Starter pit: High grade veins
Ore sorting up to 1 gpt
Working on PFS
PEA: $385M capex
AISC: $500 in year one. Avg $1150
363K production in year one.
132K production average (likely to increase)
17 year mine life
Permitting advanced: submit 2025, approved 12-18 months
2025 PFS
$5M debt
$25M cash liquid equivalents
Money needed 2024-2025; $20M to $30M
Significant exploration potential. Lots of targets. There will be a second mine.
Insiders: Mgt: 15%, Friends & Family: 37%
Potential 30 bagger at $3K gold at 300K production.
Risk: Long wait until production.
Cabral Gold
PFS: Coming 2024
Phase 1 heap leach
$12M capex
25K year to start
40K to 45K in year 3
230K oxides (potential 500K oz’s)
AISC: $750
$20M FCF
Phase 2 - mill
1.2M oz .9 gpt
.35 cut-off
Likely 1.5M+
Mill will be at least 70K oz year AISC around $1400
2 additional discoveries. Likely a 2M+ property
Likely 100K + producer
Potential 15-bagger at 80K production at $3K gold.
Cerrado Gold
Location: Argentina and Brazil
Mining 65,000 oz in Argentina (Don Nicholas) at $1100 AISC
$1100 AISC
Monte Do Carmo (Brazil)
$150M capex
2025 Production: 100K oz at ASIC $800
Borrowing $200M to build Monte Do Carmo
$160M Debt 60% (appears to be finalized)
$40M Stream 20%
$20M Equity 10%
Permit: due in 90 days
Construction 2024
Trading at a 1 multiple 33M FCF and $38 FD Mkt Cap
Potential 30-bagger at 175K production at $3K gold.
Risk: Mine life at Don Nicholas
Tudor Gold
Treaty Creek Project in Canada
Resource Size: 30M oz (likely to grow to 35M oz). They own 60%.
PEA 2024
PFS/DFS coming soon after the PEA
Permitting starting soon
Goal: To become construction ready in 4-5 years.
Potential 10-bagger at 20M oz x $150 = $3B
Risk: Long wait until construction ready.
Andean Precious Metals
Location: Bolivia
Production: 5M AG oz at ASIC of $19
They buy local ore and process at their 5500 tpd mill.
Insiders: CEO 51%, Eric Sprott 13% Another strategic investor 6%
Currently trying to acquire an asset (add production)
Bought back 3M shares this year
$80M cash
Potential 20-bagger at 4M oz AG production at $100 silver.
Risk: Price of silver, available local ore.
US Gold
Location: Wyoming, USA
Permits expect Q2/Q3 2024
NSR: Pay state a royalty: 2%
PFS completed
DFS almost completed
Construction likely in 2024
Production 100K oz at $850 AISC
Capex $250
Debt financing $200M (several bank interested)
$50M Equity
Potential 15-bagger at 100K production at $3K gold.
Risk: Nothing significant.