TCMR: What other companies do you follow in that space?
SR: Another company is Commerce Resources Corp. (CCE:TSX.V; D7H:FSE; CMRZF:OTCQX). It has the Tantalum niobium project in British Columbia. It recently completed a PEA of the property, but its main asset now is its rare earth project in Quebec, which has produced a lot of positive news for the last 6 to 12 months. It recently came out with a huge increase in its resource estimate, and its initial estimate was one of the largest outside of China. The newer resource has doubled the figures, so that's a significant development. It identified middle rare earths (MREEs) and heavy rare earths (HREEs), which are more valuable than light rare earths (LREEs),close to the surface of the property.
TCMR: Are the price dynamics different for HREEs and LREEs due to respective export quotas?
SR: Yes, exactly. Prices of light and abundant rare earths dropped much more than other rare earths that are more scarcely available. So there's been a wide fluctuation, and different commodities in the rare earth sector have reacted differently. But overall, the rare earth market has been hit significantly in the last 6 to 12 months.
TCMR: Commerce has, as you mentioned, both MREEs and HREEs. Do you expect those prices to remain high or perhaps escalate?
SR: Overall, we saw significant price increases in the rare earth market, increasing as much as five- or tenfold in some cases over the last few years. We've since seen sort of a correction. But even at these relatively lower prices, a lot of projects are economic. So we wouldn't need to see an increase in prices to make these companies look favorable.
TCMR: What other factors might impact this sector, particularly in an election year, that investors should take into consideration when considering critical metals companies?
SR: Global economic growth and price levels of critical metals are not directly linked. Critical metals are more influenced by new technologies. Any commodity that can be used for viable and efficient new technologies is going to see good growth and demand. This would include commodities like lithium and graphite, which are used in lithium-ion batteries. We have a strong outlook on lithium-ion batteries for electric cars. Those are the kinds of technologies that can be viable in the long run, and all the associated technologies are likewise going to see a significant increase in demand. Critical materials that figure into these developments will be less affected by shorter-term developments like the U.S. presidential election or a slowdown in the Chinese economy because many of these new technologies have a lot of room for upside, even before demand stabilizes.
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quelle:
www.businessinsider.com/...wth-drivers-siddharth-rajeev-2012-3