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Bullishness Remains Steady as Geopolitical and Energy Concerns Rise, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management Pulse Survey Finds

Morgan Stanley Wealth Management today announced the results of its quarterly retail investor pulse survey:

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  • Bullish sentiment holds. More than half of investors (55%) remain bullish this quarter, only slightly below last quarter (56%).
  • Inflation remains the top concern as new pressures rise. While inflation continues to loom large (50%), concern about geopolitical conflict increased to 20% (up from 12% in Q1) andenergy costs rose to 18% (up from 12% in Q1).
  • Volatility expectations build. About two in three investors (63%) expect volatility to rise, six percentage points higher than last quarter.
  • Upcoming midterms add to market anxiety. Nearly half (48%) of investors worry midterm elections could affect stock performance.
  • Amid uncertainty, investors stay engaged. Half (50%) of investors have increased the amount of time they devote to their portfolio this quarter—up from 41% last quarter.

“With geopolitical concerns, policy uncertainty and higher costs, market whiplash is very real, making day-to-day moves feel noisy,” said Chris Larkin, Managing Director and Head of Trading and Investing, E*TRADE from Morgan Stanley. “But rather than pull back, many investors remain engaged—adjusting to volatility and looking for opportunities in a more complex market backdrop. A healthy dose of volatility is a normal part of market dynamics, and commitment to an investing plan is key.”

The survey explored investor views on sector opportunities for the second quarter of 2026:

  • IT—With AI disruption continuing to move the market, more than half of investors (56%) point to information technology as the sector with the greatest potential this quarter.
  • Energy–Amid spiking oil prices, investor interest in energy is unchanged this quarter, holding steady at 49%.
  • Health care–As market risks shift, interest in health care—known for its relative stability during uncertainty—ticked up 2 percentage points to 35%.

About the Survey
This wave of the survey was conducted from April 1 to April 20 of 2026 among an online US sample of 940 self-directed investors, investors who fully delegate investment account management to financial professionals, and investors who utilize both. The survey has a margin of error of ±3.20 percent at the 95 percent confidence level. It was fielded and administered by Dynata. The panel is broken into three investable assets: less than $500k, between $500k to $1 million, and over $1 million. The panel is 60% male and 40% female and self-select as having moderate+ investing experience, with an even distribution across geographic regions, and age bands.

About Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, a global leader, provides access to a wide range of products and services to individuals, businesses and institutions, including brokerage and investment advisory services, financial and wealth planning, cash management and lending products and services, annuities and insurance, retirement and trust services.

About Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) is a leading global financial services firm providing a wide range of investment banking, securities, wealth management and investment management services. With offices in 42 countries, the Firm’s employees serve clients worldwide including corporations, governments, institutions and individuals. For further information about Morgan Stanley, please visit www.morganstanley.com.

This has been prepared for informational purposes only and is not a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any security or other financial instrument, or to participate in any trading strategy. This material does not provide individually tailored investment advice. It has been prepared without regard to the individual financial circumstances and objectives of persons who receive it. Morgan Stanley recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies and encourages investors to seek the advice of a Financial Advisor.

Morgan Stanley Portfolio Solutions are portfolios available in our Select UMA platform under either Firm Discretionary UMA or Managed Advisory Portfolio Solutions. Please see the Select UMA ADV at www.morganstanley.com/ADV

Past performance is not a guarantee or indicative of future performance. Historical data shown represents past performance and does not guarantee comparable future results.

This material contains forward-looking statements and there can be no guarantee that they will come to pass.

Diversification and asset allocation do not guarantee a profit or protect against loss in a declining financial market.

This material should not be viewed as investment advice or recommendations with respect to asset allocation or any particular investment.

Morgan Stanley Wealth Management is the trade name of Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC, a registered broker-dealer in the United States.

Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC and Dynata are not affiliates.
© 2026 Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC. Member SIPC.

Referenced Data

When it comes to the current market are you?

 

Q1’26

Q2’26

Bullish

56%

55%

Bearish

44%

45%

Which of the following are you most concerned about when it comes to your finances? (Top 2)

 

Q1’26

Q2’26

Inflation

47%

50%

Market volatility

20%

22%

Geopolitical conflict

12%

20%

Tariffs

27%

18%

Energy costs

12%

18%

Current administration

21%

17%

A recession

18%

13%

Earnings

8%

10%

Fed monetary policy

8%

8%

Jobs market

8%

6%

None

4%

2%

Over the next quarter, do you think volatility will...

 

Q1’26

Q2’26

Top 2 Box

57%

63%

Greatly increase

12%

15%

Somewhat increase

45%

48%

Stay the same

35%

25%

Somewhat decrease

8%

11%

Greatly decrease

0%

1%

How concerned are you about the midterm elections on the stock market?

 

Q2’26

Top 2 Box

48%

Extremely concerned

21%

Very concerned

27%

Moderately concerned

29%

Slightly concerned

15%

Not concerned at all

8%

The time I devote to my portfolio has ________ within the last three months.

 

Q1’26

Q2’26

Top 2 Box

41%

50%

Greatly increased

10%

17%

Somewhat increased

31%

33%

Stayed the same

55%

46%

Somewhat decreased

3%

3%

Greatly decreased

1%

1%

What industries do you think offer the most potential this quarter?

 

Q1’26

Q2’26

Information technology

60%

56%

Energy

49%

49%

Health care

33%

35%

Financials

28%

28%

Real estate

26%

28%

Utilities

28%

26%

Industrials

20%

21%

Communication services

19%

18%

Consumer staples

17%

16%

Materials

14%

15%

Consumer discretionary

9%

9%

 

View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260421925706/en/

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