....A tax incentive drove a record 13.6 gigawatts of installations in the U.S., where GE commissioned 96 percent of its turbines and Vestas sold 40 percent, its biggest market. Installations are set to plunge to 2.8 gigawatts this year after the subsidy expired Dec. 31, the researcher said.
“2012 was a great year for western manufacturers in terms of adding new capacity, particularly those with large exposure to the U.S. market,” said Justin Wu, head of wind analysis at BNEF. “Unfortunately, this boom was largely based on beating the deadline on an expiring subsidy and not on sustainable growth. As such, 2013 will look very different.”
Globally, a record 48.4 gigawatts of new wind was added in 2012, BNEF said. China Guodian Corp. overtook Iberdrola SA (IBE) as the largest wind owner with 13.7 gigawatts installed at the end of 2012. Its lead is likely to extend as build-out in China continues, it said. BNEF expects Chinese owners to gain market share as domestic grid constraints ease and they seek overseas expansion, while U.S. and European installations fall.
Vestas will probably regain top position over GE as the U.S. market shrinks, BNEF said.Previous rankings have split over who takes front position. Danish researcher Make Consulting placed Vestas ahead last year, while Navigant Consulting Inc. (NCI)’s BTM Consult unit said GE’s market share beat Vestas. Both placed Siemens in third place.
While Congress extended the U.S. subsidy for a year on Jan. 1, there will probably be a drop in demand in 2013 because developers rushed through their plans to meet the deadline, BNEF said.
www.bloomberg.com/news//2013-04-18/...installations-surge.html
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