Mit meinen Vorausberechnungen lag ich um 1 ct zu niedrig. Wenn ich mit meinen Vorausberechnungen eine Abweichung von nicht mehr als 10% habe, bin ich eigentlich auch schon zufrieden.
Nach einem ersten kurzen Durchlesen der News bin ich absolut begeistert. Insbesondere, dass sich die Vermutung, die geplante Jahresproduktion könnte noch übertroffen werden, zu bewahrheiten scheint, erfüllt mich mit tiefer Befriedigung.
Der einzige kleine Punkt, der nicht absolut positiv zu sehen ist, ist der Ausblick, dass der erzielte Molypreis im 4. Quartal niedriger sein wird, als in den vorhergegangenen Quartalen. Aber dies ist ja nicht mehr neu und war zu erwarten.
Inzwischen hat das Unternehmen in den ersten 3 Quartalen also bereits 1,75 US-$ je Aktie an Gewinn erzielt. Auch wenn das "Vergangenheitswerte" sind, bleibt ein Aktienkurs von 5,28 CAD bzw. 4,44 US-$ schlichtweg unverständlich.
Sehr gespannt bin ich, wie der Markt morgen auf diese phantastisch guten Zahlen reagiert. Der verqueren Logik des derzeitigen Aktienmarktes entsprechend, müsste es noch mal 15% nach unten gehen. Vielleicht geht aber dem einen oder anderen Anleger doch noch ein Licht auf, dass TCM nicht nächste Woche den Gang zum Konkursrichter antreten wird.
Sobald ich Zeit dazu finde, spätestens wohl am Wochenende, will ich mal die wichtigen Punkte aus der News in deutscher Sprache zusammenstellen.
Viele Grüsse
chartex (alias Stock24)
-------------------------------------
Hier die News:
CNW Group Portfolio E-Mail
THOMPSON CREEK METALS COMPANY INC.
Transmitted by CNW Group on : November 6, 2008 17:01
Thompson Creek announces third-quarter 2008 financial results
§ <<
§ NYSE: TC
§ TSX: TCM, TCM.WT
§ Frankfurt: A6R
§ >>
§ TORONTO, Nov. 6 /CNW/ -
§ <<
§ Overview (all in U.S. dollars):
§ - A significant rise in molybdenum sales in the third quarter resulted
§ in record quarterly net income of $100.6 million or $0.80 per basic
§ and $0.74 per diluted common share in the third quarter, up 66.6%
§ from $60.4 million or $0.52 per basic and $0.45 per diluted common
§ share in the second quarter of 2008.
§ - Third-quarter net income was approximately four times higher than the
§ level of $24 million or $0.21 per basic and $0.18 per diluted common
§ share recorded in the third quarter of 2007 when a lower-grade
§ stockpile was being processed in the mill at the Thompson Creek Mine.
§ - For the nine months ended September 30, 2008, net income rose 61.7%
§ to $207.8 million or $1.75 per basic and $1.56 per diluted common
§ share from $128.5 million or $1.18 per basic and $1.03 per diluted
§ common share in the same period of 2007.
§ - Mining operations continued to perform well in the third quarter with
§ total molybdenum production rising 5.1% to 6.5 million pounds from
§ 6.2 million pounds in the second quarter of 2008.
§ - The Company's molybdenum inventory was reduced by approximately
§ one million pounds as planned in the third quarter.
§ - Molybdenum production guidance for 2008 has been increased to between
§ 25 and 26 million pounds due to higher-than-expected production at
§ the Endako Mine. Previous production guidance was 23 to 24.5 million
§ pounds.
§ - Cash costs for the production of molybdenum oxide in 2008 are
§ expected to be $7.30 per pound, comprising approximately $7 per pound
§ at the Thompson Creek Mine (up from previous guidance of $6 to $6.50
§ per pound) and $7.50 to $8 per pound at the Endako Mine (down from
§ previous guidance of $9.50 to $10.25 per pound).
§ - Cash flow generated by operating activities was $110.3 million in the
§ third quarter and $236.6 million in the first nine months of 2008.
§ - Cash balances were $151.7 million and total debt was $4.7 million on
§ September 30, 2008. Cash balances as of November 5, 2008 were
§ $244.1 million.
§ - For 2009, the Company expects molybdenum production to rise to an
§ estimated 31.5 to 34 million pounds, consisting of Thompson Creek
§ Mine production of between 24.5 and 26 million pounds and the
§ Company's 75% share of Endako Mine production at between 7 and
§ 8 million pounds.
§ - Cash costs for the production of molybdenum oxide in 2009 are
§ estimated at between $6 and $7 per pound in 2009, with cash costs at
§ the Thompson Creek Mine between $5 and $6 per pound and at the Endako
§ Mine between $8 and $9 per pound (assuming an exchange rate of US$1
§ = C$1.20).
§ - Given current economic conditions, the Company has decided to
§ postpone development of the Davidson Project until economic
§ conditions improve.
§ Note: A conference call and webcast for analysts and investors is
§ scheduled for Friday, November 7, 2008 at 8:30 a.m. Eastern.
§ >>
§ Thompson Creek Metals Company Inc. ("the Company"), one of the world's
largest publicly traded, pure molybdenum producers, today announced financial
results for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2008 prepared in
accordance with Canadian generally accepted accounting principles. All dollar
amounts are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise indicated.
§ "Thompson Creek recorded strong operating and financial performance in
the third quarter with molybdenum production up 5.1% from the second quarter
and the Company's revenues, cash flow and net income all at record quarterly
levels," said Kevin Loughrey, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer.
§ "However, as a result of the worldwide financial crisis and economic
downturn in recent weeks, there is significant uncertainty regarding the
near-term demand and price outlook for molybdenum. Given the decline in the
molybdenum price since September, the fourth-quarter average sales price for
molybdenum is expected to be considerably lower than the company's
third-quarter average realized sales price of US$32.85 per pound.
§ "Thompson Creek is in the fortunate position of having a strong balance
sheet, with working capital of $355.6 million, including $151.7 million in
cash balances, and almost no debt as at September 30, 2008," Mr. Loughrey
said.
§ "In addition, due to higher predicted ore grades at the Thompson Creek
Mine, the Company is expecting to benefit from a substantial increase in total
molybdenum production in 2009 to a range of 31.5 to 34 million pounds with
average per-pound cash costs below those experienced in 2008.
§ "Nevertheless, given the sudden change in economic climate, the Company
is in the process of reviewing and revising future capital expenditures,
development projects and operating plans to ensure that adequate working
capital levels are maintained," Mr. Loughrey added.
§ Third-Quarter Financial Results
§ The Company's revenues were $331.1 million in the third quarter of 2008,
compared with $243.9 million in the second quarter of 2008 and $200.9 million
in the third quarter of 2007. The gain in revenues from the second quarter of
2008 was due to higher sales volumes that in part resulted from the sale of
approximately one million pounds of inventory that had been built up in the
second quarter in connection with scheduled maintenance shutdowns of the
Langeloth and Endako roasters.
§ The year-over-year rise in revenues reflects generally higher production
volumes and sales from the company's mines in 2008 compared with 2007 when a
lower-grade stockpile was temporarily used in milling operations at the
Thompson Creek Mine. Total sales of molybdenum amounted to 9.9 million pounds
during the third quarter, up from 6.1 million pounds a year earlier. Of this,
molybdenum sold from the Company's mines in the third quarter of 2008 was 6.9
million pounds, up from 3.4 million pound sold in the same period in 2007, and
sales of third-party molybdenum purchased, processed and resold was 3 million
pounds in the third quarter, up from 2.7 million a year earlier. The average
realized sale price for molybdenum products in the third quarter of 2008 was
$32.85 per pound, which was 2% higher than $32.06 per pound a year earlier.
§ After the deduction of operating, selling, marketing, depreciation,
depletion and accretion costs, the Company generated income from mining and
processing operations totaling $159 million in the third quarter, compared
with $105.4 million in the second quarter of 2008 and $60.9 million in the
third quarter of 2007.
§ Net income in the third quarter of 2008 was $100.6 million or $0.80 per
basic and $0.74 per diluted common share, compared with $60.4 million or $0.52
per basic and $0.45 per diluted common share in the second quarter of 2008 and
$24.0 million or $0.21 per basic and $0.18 per diluted share in the third
quarter of 2007.
§ The per-share figures are based on a weighted-average number of shares
outstanding of 125,045,000 (basic) and 136,754,000 (diluted) in the third
quarter of 2008, compared with 116,902,000 (basic) and 133,867,000 (diluted)
in the second quarter of 2008, and 112,875,000 (basic) and 129,743,000
(diluted) in the third quarter of 2007. At November 6, 2008, there were
122,653,000 common shares, 24,505,000 warrants and 8,343,000 employee options
outstanding.
§ Cash flow from operating activities was $110.3 million in the third
quarter of 2008, compared with $62.9 million in the second quarter of 2008 and
$31.4 million in the third quarter of 2007.
§ Cash balances were $151.7 million at September 30, 2008, compared with
$79.3 million at June 30, 2008 and $113.7 million at December 31, 2007. Cash
balances as of November 5, 2008 were $244.1 million.
§ The Company's total debt on September 30, 2008 was $4.7 million in
equipment loans.
§ The Company's mines produced 6.5 million pounds of molybdenum in the
third quarter of 2008, compared with 6.2 million pounds of molybdenum in the
second quarter of 2008 and 3.0 million pounds in the third quarter of 2007.
The Thompson Creek Mine produced 4.3 million pounds in the third quarter, up
from 4.0 million pounds in the second quarter and 1.1 million pounds in the
third quarter of 2007. The Company's 75% share of the Endako Mine's production
was 2.2 million pounds in the third quarter, compared with 2.2 million pounds
in the second quarter and 1.9 million pounds in the third quarter of 2007.
§ The production amounts reflect molybdenum produced at the Thompson Creek
and Endako mines but do not include molybdenum purchased from third parties,
roasted and sold by the Company.
§ The weighted-average direct production costs for molybdenum pounds
produced from the Company's mines during the period were $6.63 per pound
produced in the third quarter of 2008, compared with $7.56 per pound produced
in the second quarter of 2008 and $11.63 per pound produced in the third
quarter of 2007. At the Thompson Creek Mine, the direct production costs per
pound produced were $6.29 per pound in the third quarter, compared with $7.02
per pound in the second quarter and $15.57 per pound in the third quarter of
2007. The Endako Mine's direct production costs per pound produced were $7.32
per pound in the third quarter, compared with $8.53 per pound in the second
quarter and $9.27 per pound in the third quarter of 2007.
§ The weighted-average cash operating expenses for molybdenum sold from the
Company's mines during the period were $7.25 per pound sold in the third
quarter of 2008, compared with $7.49 per pound sold in the second quarter of
2008 and $9.16 per pound sold in the third quarter of 2007. At the Thompson
Creek Mine, the average cash operating expenses related to sales were $6.65
per pound sold in the third quarter, compared with $7.83 per pound sold in the
second quarter and $8.52 per pound sold in the third quarter of 2007. The
Endako Mine's average cash operating expenses related to sales were $8.44 per
pound sold in the third quarter, compared with $6.99 per pound sold in the
second quarter and $9.63 per pound sold in the second quarter of 2007.
§ Subsequent to the end of the third quarter and through to the current
date, the Company, under a normal course issuer bid, purchased 2.4 million of
its common shares for cancellation at an average price of C$8.21 per share.
Approximately 9.9 million shares remain available for purchase under this
share-purchase program.
§ Nine-Month Financial Results
§ The Company's revenues were $829.8 million in the first nine months of
2008, up 16% from $716.6 million a year earlier. The sales gain mainly
reflected a 16% rise in realized molybdenum sales prices which averaged $32.75
in the 2008 nine-month period versus $28.20 a year earlier. The total volume
of sales was 24.9 million pounds, up from 24.8 million pounds in the
nine-month period in 2007. This consisted of sales of molybdenum from the
company's own mines in the 2008 nine-month period of 15.8 million pounds, down
from 16.3 million pounds a year earlier, while sales of third-party molybdenum
purchased, processed and resold amounted to 9.1 million pounds, up from 8.4
million pounds a year earlier.
§ After the deduction of operating, selling, marketing, depreciation,
depletion and accretion costs, the Company generated income from mining and
processing operations totaling $341.7 million in the first nine months of
2008, compared with $253.1 million a year earlier.
§ Net income in the 2008 nine-month period was $207.8 million or $1.75 per
basic and $1.56 per diluted common share, compared with $128.5 million or
$1.18 per basic and $1.03 per diluted share in the same period of 2007. The
per-share figures are based on a weighted-average number of shares outstanding
of 118,492,000 (basic) and 133,186,000 (diluted) in the first nine months of
2008 versus 109,151,000 (basic) and 124,565,000 (diluted) in the first nine
months of 2007.
§ Net income and earnings from mining and processing operations in the
first nine months of 2007 were negatively affected by the inclusion in
operating expenses of a non-cash acquisition expense related to the inventory
portion of the purchase price adjustment associated with the Company's
purchase of Thompson Creek Metals Company USA in October 2006. This non-cash
expense amounted to $29.6 million in the first quarter of 2007.
§ Cash flow from operating activities was $236.6 million in the first nine
months of 2008, compared with $136.8 million a year earlier.
§ Capital expenditures totaled $75.4 million in the first nine months of
2008 which primarily represented new mobile equipment purchases at the
Thompson Creek and Endako mines together with the Endako mill expansion.
§ The Company's mines produced 18.3 million pounds of molybdenum in the
first nine months of 2008, up from 12.9 million pounds a year earlier. The
Thompson Creek Mine produced 11.9 million pounds in the latest period, up from
7.3 million pounds a year earlier, while the Company's 75% share of Endako
Mine's production was 6.3 million pounds in the first nine months of 2008,
compared with 5.6 million pounds a year earlier.
§ The weighted-average direct production costs for molybdenum pounds
produced from the Company's mines during the first nine months of 2008 were
$7.31 per pound produced, compared with $7.69 per pound produced in the
year-earlier period. At the Thompson Creek Mine, the direct production costs
per pound produced were $7.08 per pound in the 2008 period, compared with
$7.20 per pound a year earlier. The Endako Mine's direct production costs per
pound produced were $7.75 per pound in the first nine months of 2008, compared
with $8.34 per pound a year earlier.
§ The weighted-average cash operating expenses for molybdenum sold from the
Company's mines during the first nine months of 2008 were $8.17 per pound
sold, compared with $7.80 per pound sold in the prior year period. At the
Thompson Creek Mine, the average cash operating expenses related to sales were
$8.13 per pound sold in the 2008 period, compared with $7.58 per pound sold a
year earlier. The Endako Mine's average cash operating expenses related to
sales were $8.24 per pound sold in the first nine months of 2008, compared
with $8.20 per pound sold a year earlier.
§