Updated 12/16 for Wednesday's market. | |||||||||||||||||
Rally, At ResistanceDow rallies off lows, ends day at resistance.From prior commentary, "...look for the Dow to continue trending higher within the channel boundaries. An upside break through 10,100 will make for another wave higher within the channel's boundaries..." The Dow moved sharply higher off yesterday's lows this morning, leading to what resulted in a 107 point advance, seen in the 15 and 60 Minute Charts. The index ended the day at the session highs, but was not able to rise above resistance at 10,140. This will be the key level to watch for tomorrow's market. An upside break through the 10,140 resistance level will lead to news highs in the index. However, if the Dow cannot rise above this level, we will likely see another push lower within the month-long channel, seen in the 60 Minute Chart. A break below 10,100 will likely lead to such a move, down toward the lower boundary of the channel at around 10,000. Short Term Dow Short term, the Dow has formed a clear trend line beneath the lows of the late-day advance, seen in the 1 Minute Chart. Watch for continued upside movement above the line, unless a break of 1,0120 occurs. Such a break will lead to weakness at the Open. Medium Term Dow In the medium term, we entered the market Long today at 10,100 and are still in the position. We will continue to hold stops at the entry and will want to stay Long above 10,140. We will look to enter Shorts below 10,100, with 20 point stops. NASDAQ & S&P The NASDAQ showed weakness for half the session, but eventually pushed higher to the Close alongside the S&P and the Dow. The NASDAQ continues to trade within its wide range, while the S&P has formed a tighter range. Watch the boundaries for medium term direction. * Summary The Dow pushed steadily higher throughout the session today, taking a three-digit gain into the Close. The index is now holding at resistance at 10,140, which we will watch closely tomorrow. A break or bounce here will likely dictate tomorrow's direction. Thanks for listening, and Good luck in your trading.. Ed Downs with assistance from.. ** Note: We are now posting Index entries and exits in Real Time, through our new Intraday Index Alerts service. To learn more about the service, visit SignalWatch.com and select Intraday Alerts from the main navigation bar. - SW Team _________________________ |
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