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Nutrien Reports Full-Year 2025 Results and Provides 2026 Guidance

Nutrien Ltd. (TSX and NYSE: NTR) announced today its fourth quarter 2025 results, with net earnings of $0.58 billion ($1.18 diluted net earnings per share). Fourth quarter 2025 adjusted EBITDA1 was $1.28 billion and adjusted net earnings per share1 was $0.83.

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“2025 was a defining year for our Company, with exceptional performance across all our operating segments and a reduction in cost and capital expenditures that surpassed our targets. Alongside delivering structural free cash flow growth, we took decisive actions to optimize our portfolio, strengthen our balance sheet and increase cash returns to shareholders,” commented Ken Seitz, Nutrien’s President and CEO.

“As we move into 2026, our priorities remain unchanged and we expect to build on our momentum supported by strong potash market fundamentals, an improved Nitrogen margin profile, and higher Retail earnings. I am excited about Nutrien’s extraordinary potential as we continue to position the Company for long-term growth and resilience,” added Mr. Seitz.

Highlights2:

  • Generated net earnings of $2.30 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $6.05 billion for the full year of 2025. Adjusted EBITDA increased due to higher fertilizer net selling prices, record upstream fertilizer sales volumes and higher Retail earnings.
  • Generated strong free cash flow in 2025 and approximately $900 million in gross proceeds from asset divestiture proceeds since the fourth quarter of 2024, enabling a reduction in adjusted net debt and a 30 percent increase in total cash returns to shareholders.3
  • Retail adjusted EBITDA increased to $1.74 billion in 2025 due to lower operating expenses from our cost savings initiatives, stronger proprietary products gross margin and disciplined execution of our Brazil margin improvement plan. We continue to simplify our business and deliver earnings growth through proven organic initiatives.
  • Potash adjusted EBITDA increased to $2.25 billion in 2025 due to higher net selling prices and record sales volumes, supported by strong potash affordability and underlying consumption growth in key offshore markets. We mined 49 percent of our potash ore tonnes using automation, further strengthening our low-cost advantage.
  • Nitrogen adjusted EBITDA increased to $2.15 billion in 2025 due to higher net selling prices. Total ammonia production increased in 2025, supported by a four-percentage-point improvement in ammonia operating rate4 as we advanced reliability initiatives across our North American plants and completed low-cost debottlenecks at Redwater and Geismar.
  • We repurchased approximately 2 percent of our shares outstanding in 2025 for a total of $551 million. Nutrien’s Board of Directors approved a 1 percent increase in the quarterly dividend to $0.55 per share and approved the purchase of up to 5 percent of outstanding common shares over a twelve-month period through a normal course issuer bid (“NCIB”). The NCIB is subject to acceptance by the Toronto Stock Exchange.

1

This is a non-GAAP financial measure. See the “Non-GAAP Financial Measures” section. All references to per share amounts pertain to diluted net earnings per share, unless otherwise noted.

2

Our discussion of highlights set out on this page is a comparison of the results for the twelve months ended December 31, 2025 to the results for the twelve months ended December 31, 2024, unless otherwise noted.

3

Cash used for dividends and share repurchases.

4

Excludes Trinidad and Joffre.

Update on Strategic Actions:

We continue to take actions to simplify our portfolio and focus on core assets to enhance earnings quality and free cash flow.

  • On December 10, 2025, we completed the sale of our 50 percent equity interest in Profertil S.A. (“Profertil”) for approximately $0.6 billion. Since initiating portfolio actions in the fourth quarter of 2024, Nutrien has generated approximately $900 million in gross proceeds, enhancing capital efficiency and portfolio resilience while strengthening the balance sheet and increasing cash returns to shareholders.
  • We are progressing as planned with the review of strategic alternatives for our Phosphate business and intend to solidify the optimal path in 2026.
  • We continue to assess options for our Trinidad Nitrogen facility, and consistent with our approach of reviewing non-core assets, we ceased production at our New Madrid Nitrogen upgrade facility at year-end 2025. Our Trinidad and New Madrid plants combined accounted for approximately 1.6 million tonnes of Nitrogen sales volumes in 2025, however contributed marginal free cash flow. These portfolio actions improve the margin profile of our Nitrogen business, allow for greater focus on enhancing our core North American assets, and provide increased stability to consolidated free cash flow.



Market Outlook and Guidance

Agriculture and Retail Markets

  • Higher global grain and oilseed production in 2025 increased stocks-to-use ratios towards historical average levels and led to significant nutrient removal from the soil. Strong demand for food, feed and biofuel uses is expected to drive continued need for higher global crop production and related crop inputs.
  • We expect total US crop acres in 2026 to be consistent with 2025 levels and project corn plantings of 94 to 96 million acres and soybean plantings of 84 to 86 million acres. This acreage outlook, combined with a compressed fertilizer application season in the fall of 2025, is expected to support increased crop input demand in the first half of 2026.
  • In Brazil, soybean production is expected to set another record in 2026, with harvest currently underway, and we anticipate a 3 to 5 percent increase in safrinha corn plantings. Growth in planted area is expected to support crop input demand; however, weaker affordability is expected to result in just-in-time purchases and a continued shift to lower analysis nitrogen and phosphate products.
  • In Australia, improved weather compared to the first half of 2025 is expected to support crop input demand and strong livestock prices to support sales of Retail products and services.

Crop Nutrient Markets

  • Global potash shipments increased to approximately 74.5 million tonnes in 2025, primarily driven by strong demand in Southeast Asia. We expect a fourth consecutive year of growth in 2026, with total global potash shipments ranging between 74 and 77 million tonnes. Demand is supported by the need to replenish soil nutrients following a record crop, favorable relative affordability and low inventory levels in key markets such as China and Brazil. We anticipate relatively tight fundamentals throughout 2026, as trend line demand growth is testing existing global operating and supply chain capabilities.
  • Global nitrogen demand is expected to grow in line with historical rates, driven by increasing use in agricultural growth markets such as Asia and Latin America. Global ammonia markets remain tight due to project delays and plant outages. Global urea markets have strengthened in the first quarter of 2026 due to strong seasonal demand from India, North America and Brazil and geopolitical uncertainties impacting supply.
  • Global phosphate markets eased in the fourth quarter of 2025 due to lower demand related to weaker affordability relative to potash and nitrogen. Phosphate markets have strengthened in the first quarter of 2026 due to Chinese export restrictions and elevated input costs.

Financial and Operational Guidance

  • Retail adjusted EBITDA guidance of $1.75 to $1.95 billion represents continued structural growth in our downstream business consistent with historical rates. The mid-point of our guidance range assumes high-single digit growth in proprietary products gross margins, a mid-single digit increase in our North American crop nutrient sales volumes, improved weather conditions in Australia and cost reduction initiatives across all geographies.
  • Potash sales volume guidance of 14.1 to 14.8 million tonnes is consistent with our global shipment expectation.
  • Nitrogen sales volume guidance of 9.2 to 9.7 million tonnes assumes no production from our Trinidad and New Madrid facility, which accounted for approximately 1.4 million tonnes and 0.2 million tonnes, respectively, in 2025. Nitrogen sales volumes are supported by planned reliability improvements and debottlenecks.
  • Phosphate sales volume guidance of 2.4 to 2.6 million tonnes reflect the benefits of reliability improvement initiatives completed in 2025.
  • Total capital expenditures of $2.0 to $2.1 billion is consistent with 2025 as we continue to optimize capital to sustain safe and reliable operations and to progress a set of targeted growth investments. The total includes approximately $400 million in investing capital focused on proprietary products, network optimization and digital capabilities in Retail, low-cost brownfield expansions and product optimization projects in Nitrogen, and mine automation in Potash.

All guidance numbers, including those noted above, are outlined in the table below. In addition, set forth below are anticipated fertilizer pricing and natural gas price sensitivities relating to adjusted EBITDA (consolidated) and adjusted net earnings per share.

 

2026 Guidance ranges1 as of
February 18, 2026

 

($ billions, except as otherwise noted)

Low

High

2025 Actual

Retail adjusted EBITDA

1.75

1.95

1.74

Potash sales volumes (million tonnes) 2

14.1

14.8

14.25

 

Nitrogen sales volumes (million tonnes) 2

9.2

9.7

10.89

Phosphate sales volumes (million tonnes) 2

2.4

2.6

2.36

Depreciation and amortization

2.4

2.5

2.4

Finance costs

0.65

0.75

0.7

Effective tax rate on adjusted net earnings (%) 3

24.0

26.0

24.9

Capital expenditures 4

2.0

2.1

2.0

1 See the “Forward-Looking Statements” section.

2 Manufactured product only.

3 This is a non-GAAP financial measure. See the “Non-GAAP Financial Measures” section.

4 Comprised of sustaining capital expenditures, investing capital expenditures and mine development and pre-stripping capital expenditures, which are supplementary financial measures. See the “Other Financial Measures” section.

2026 Annual Sensitivities

Effect on1

($ millions, except EPS amounts)

Adjusted EBITDA

Adjusted EPS4

$25 per tonne change in potash net selling prices

± 280

± 0.45

$25 per tonne change in ammonia net selling prices 2

± 35

± 0.05

$25 per tonne change in urea and ESN® net selling prices

± 65

± 0.10

$25 per tonne change in solutions, nitrates and sulfates net selling prices

± 135

± 0.20

$1 per MMBtu change in NYMEX natural gas price 3

± 180

± 0.30

1 See the “Forward-Looking Statements” section.

2 Excludes Trinidad.

3 Nitrogen related impact.

4 Based on shares outstanding as at December 31, 2025.

 
 

Consolidated Results

 

Three Months Ended December 31

 

Twelve Months Ended December 31

($ millions, except as otherwise noted)

2025

2024

% Change

 

2025

2024

% Change

Sales

5,340

5,079

5

 

26,885

25,972

4

Gross margin

1,888

1,581

19

 

8,347

7,530

11

Expenses

967

1,184

(18)

 

4,611

5,674

(19)

Net earnings

580

118

392

 

2,297

700

228

Adjusted EBITDA 1

1,277

1,055

21

 

6,046

5,355

13

Diluted net earnings per share (dollars) 2

1.18

0.23

413

 

4.66

1.36

243

Adjusted net earnings per share (dollars) 1, 2

0.83

0.31

168

 

4.56

3.47

31

1 This is a non-GAAP financial measure. See the “Non-GAAP Financial Measures” section.

2 All references to per share amounts pertain to diluted net earnings per share, unless otherwise noted.

Net earnings and adjusted EBITDA increased in the fourth quarter primarily due to higher fertilizer net selling prices and Potash sales volumes, partially offset by lower Nitrogen sales volumes and Retail earnings. For the full year of 2025, net earnings and adjusted EBITDA increased due to higher fertilizer net selling prices, increased upstream fertilizer sales volumes and higher Retail earnings. Net earnings for the fourth quarter of 2025 were positively impacted by the gain on sale of investment related to the disposal of our 50 percent equity ownership in Profertil.



Segment Results

Our discussion of segment results set out on the following pages is a comparison of the results for the three and twelve months ended December 31, 2025 to the results for the three and twelve months ended December 31, 2024, unless otherwise noted.

Retail

 

Three Months Ended December 31

 

Twelve Months Ended December 31

($ millions, except as otherwise noted)

2025

2024

% Change

 

2025

2024

% Change

Sales

3,144

3,179

(1)

 

17,620

17,832

(1)

Cost of goods sold

2,167

2,193

(1)

 

13,017

13,211

(1)

Gross margin

977

986

(1)

 

4,603

4,621

Adjusted EBITDA 1

311

340

(9)

 

1,736

1,696

2

1 See Note 2 to the interim financial statements.

  • Retail adjusted EBITDA decreased in the fourth quarter as the prior period benefited from other income items, most notably a $25 million gain on sale of land in Argentina. Adjusted EBITDA increased for the full year of 2025 due to lower operating expenses from our cost savings initiatives, higher proprietary products gross margin and strategic actions related to our Brazil margin improvement plan.

 

Three Months Ended December 31

 

Twelve Months Ended December 31

 

Sales

 

Gross Margin

 

Sales

 

Gross Margin

($ millions)

2025

2024

 

2025

2024

 

2025

2024

 

2025

2024

Crop nutrients

1,512

1,528

 

288

294

 

7,285

7,211

 

1,424

1,444

Crop protection products

931

948

 

324

351

 

6,105

6,313

 

1,590

1,622

Seed

162

184

 

48

52

 

2,128

2,235

 

408

431

Services and other

254

228

 

219

188

 

944

918

 

750

716

Merchandise

226

230

 

39

40

 

875

897

 

148

150

Nutrien Financial

82

77

 

82

77

 

376

361

 

376

361

Nutrien Financial elimination 1

(23)

(16)

 

(23)

(16)

 

(93)

(103)

 

(93)

(103)

Total

3,144

3,179

 

977

986

 

17,620

17,832

 

4,603

4,621

1 Represents elimination of the interest and service fees charged by Nutrien Financial to Retail branches.

  • Crop nutrients sales and gross margin decreased in the fourth quarter of 2025 due to lower sales volumes from a weather-shortened fall application window in the US and reduced demand for phosphate, partially offset by higher proprietary products gross margin. For the full year of 2025, sales increased due to higher selling prices, and gross margin was impacted by product mix shifts in North America and reduced demand in the fourth quarter. International crop nutrient sales volumes were lower in the fourth quarter and full year of 2025 mainly due to strategic actions in South America.
  • Crop protection products sales and gross margin were lower in the fourth quarter and full year of 2025 due to product mix shifts in North America and dry conditions in Australia, partially offset by higher proprietary products gross margin.
  • Seed sales and gross margin decreased in the fourth quarter due to strategic actions in South America. Sales and gross margin were lower for the full year of 2025 due to weather related impacts in the Southern US leading to fewer planted acres which impacted proprietary products gross margin.

Supplemental Data

Three Months Ended December 31

 

Twelve Months Ended December 31

 

Gross Margin

 

% of Product Line 1

 

Gross Margin

 

% of Product Line 1

($ millions, except as otherwise noted)

2025

2024

 

2025

2024

 

2025

2024

 

2025

2024

Proprietary products

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Crop nutrients

65

60

 

22

19

 

450

421

 

32

29

Crop protection products

43

41

 

13

11

 

503

470

 

32

29

Seed

7

6

 

18

16

 

137

154

 

34

36

Merchandise

4

4

 

9

9

 

14

15

 

9

10

Total

119

111

 

12

11

 

1,104

1,060

 

24

23

1 Represents percentage of proprietary product margins over total product line gross margin.

Three Months Ended December 31

 

Twelve Months Ended December 31

 

Sales Volumes
(tonnes - thousands)

 

Gross Margin / Tonne
(dollars)

 

Sales Volumes
(tonnes - thousands)

 

Gross Margin / Tonne
(dollars)

 

2025

2024

 

2025

2024

 

2025

2024

 

2025

2024

Crop nutrients

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

North America

1,600

1,854

 

137

125

 

8,502

8,547

 

143

142

International

626

716

 

108

87

 

3,358

3,715

 

61

62

Total

2,226

2,570

 

129

114

 

11,860

12,262

 

120

118

 

(percentages)

December 31, 2025

 

December 31, 2024

Financial performance measures 1, 2

 

 

 

Cash operating coverage ratio

62

 

63

Average working capital to sales

22

 

20

Average working capital to sales excluding Nutrien Financial

1

 

Nutrien Financial adjusted net interest margin

5.4

 

5.3

1 Rolling four quarters.

2 These are non-GAAP financial measures. See the “Non-GAAP Financial Measures” section.

Potash

 

Three Months Ended December 31

 

Twelve Months Ended December 31

($ millions, except as otherwise noted)

2025

 

2024

% Change

 

2025

 

2024

% Change

Net sales

736

 

536

37

 

3,593

 

2,989

20

Cost of goods sold

324

 

309

5

 

1,581

 

1,448

9

Gross margin

412

 

227

81

 

2,012

 

1,541

31

Adjusted EBITDA 1

445

 

291

53

 

2,254

 

1,848

22

1 See Note 2 to the interim financial statements.

  • Potash adjusted EBITDA increased in the fourth quarter and full year of 2025 due to higher net selling prices and higher sales volumes, partially offset by higher provincial mining taxes. Total and offshore sales volumes in 2025 were the highest on record.

Manufactured Product

Three Months Ended
December 31

 

Twelve Months Ended
December 31

($ per tonne, except as otherwise noted)

2025

 

2024

 

2025

 

2024

Sales volumes (tonnes - thousands)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

North America

726

 

718

 

4,638

 

4,672

Offshore

2,077

 

2,040

 

9,615

 

9,214

Total sales volumes

2,803

 

2,758

 

14,253

 

13,886

Net selling price

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

North America

305

 

270

 

286

 

285

Offshore

247

 

168

 

235

 

180

Average net selling price

262

 

194

 

252

 

215

Cost of goods sold

115

 

112

 

111

 

104

Gross margin

147

 

82

 

141

 

111

Depreciation and amortization

45

 

49

 

46

 

44

Gross margin excluding depreciation and amortization 1

192

 

131

 

187

 

155

1 This is a non-GAAP financial measure. See the “Non-GAAP Financial Measures” section.

  • Sales volumes were higher in the fourth quarter and full year of 2025 compared to the same periods in 2024. Higher offshore sales volumes were supported by strong potash affordability and underlying consumption growth in key offshore markets. North America sales volumes in the fourth quarter and full year of 2025 were consistent to the same periods in 2024.
  • Net selling price per tonne increased in the fourth quarter and full year of 2025 due to higher global benchmark prices.
  • Cost of goods sold per tonne increased in the fourth quarter and full year of 2025 primarily due to higher royalties and maintenance costs, with the full year also impacted by higher depreciation.

Supplemental Data

Three Months Ended
December 31

 

Twelve Months Ended
December 31

 

2025

 

2024

 

2025

 

2024

Production volumes (tonnes – thousands)

3,539

 

3,369

 

13,966

 

14,205

Potash controllable cash cost of product manufactured per tonne 1

61

 

59

 

58

 

54

Canpotex sales by market (percentage of sales volumes) 2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Latin America

35

 

35

 

39

 

40

Other Asian markets 3

26

 

24

 

29

 

28

China

13

 

16

 

11

 

13

India

11

 

11

 

6

 

7

Other markets

15

 

14

 

15

 

12

Total

100

 

100

 

100

 

100

1 This is a non-GAAP financial measure. See the “Non-GAAP Financial Measures” section.

2 See Note 10 to the interim financial statements.

3 All Asian markets except China and India.

Nitrogen

 

Three Months Ended December 31

 

Twelve Months Ended December 31

($ millions, except as otherwise noted)

2025

 

20241,2

% Change

 

2025

 

20241,2

% Change

Net sales

1,093

 

981

11

 

4,187

 

3,576

17

Cost of goods sold

682

 

669

2

 

2,580

 

2,374

9

Gross margin

411

 

312

32

 

1,607

 

1,202

34

Adjusted EBITDA 2

521

 

471

11

 

2,147

 

1,880

14

1 Comparative figures have been reclassified for our Purchase for Resale business from Nitrogen to the Corporate and Others segment.

2 See Note 2 to the interim financial statements.

  • Nitrogen adjusted EBITDA increased in the fourth quarter and the full year of 2025 due to higher net selling prices, partially offset by lower equity earnings from Profertil. Adjusted EBITDA for the full year of 2024 benefitted from insurance recoveries. Total ammonia production increased in 2025, supported by a four-percentage-point improvement in ammonia operating rate as we advanced reliability initiatives across our North American plants and completed low-cost debottlenecks at Redwater and Geismar.

Manufactured Product

Three Months Ended
December 31

 

Twelve Months Ended
December 31

($ per tonne, except as otherwise noted)

2025

 

2024

 

2025

 

2024

Sales volumes (tonnes - thousands)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ammonia

546

 

701

 

2,420

 

2,483

Urea and ESN®

656

 

888

 

3,099

 

3,188

Solutions, nitrates and sulfates

1,373

 

1,325

 

5,369

 

5,023

Total sales volumes

2,575

 

2,914

 

10,888

 

10,694

Net selling price

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ammonia

470

 

448

 

422

 

410

Urea and ESN®

505

 

403

 

490

 

421

Solutions, nitrates and sulfates

272

 

213

 

268

 

221

Average net selling price

373

 

327

 

365

 

324

Cost of goods sold

214

 

221

 

219

 

213

Gross margin

159

 

106

 

146

 

111

Depreciation and amortization

59

 

58

 

57

 

55

Gross margin excluding depreciation and amortization 1

218

 

164

 

203

 

166

1 This is a non-GAAP financial measure. See the “Non-GAAP Financial Measures” section.

 
  • Sales volumes decreased in the fourth quarter of 2025 due to the previously announced controlled shutdown of our Trinidad facility on October 23, 2025 and planned turnarounds at our North American operations. Sales volumes increased for the full year of 2025 due to higher production from reliability improvements and low-cost debottlenecks that increased the availability of upgraded products.
  • Net selling price per tonne was higher in the fourth quarter and full year of 2025 for all major nitrogen products due to stronger benchmark prices.
  • Cost of goods sold per tonne decreased in the fourth quarter of 2025 due to a higher percentage of sales coming from our low-cost North American nitrogen plants. For the full year of 2025, cost of goods sold per tonne increased compared to the prior year due to higher natural gas costs, mainly driven by Henry Hub benchmark.

Supplemental Data

Three Months Ended
December 31

 

Twelve Months Ended
December 31

 

2025

 

2024

 

2025

 

2024

Sales volumes (tonnes – thousands)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fertilizer

1,545

 

1,801

 

6,425

 

6,259

Industrial and feed

1,030

 

1,113

 

4,463

 

4,435

Production volumes (tonnes – thousands)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ammonia production – total 1

1,192

 

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