Hi Strikies,
... ist das nicht img.wallstreet-online.de/smilies/cool.gif" style="max-width:560px" /> ...?
... so kommt die Diskussion in Australien ein wenig in Schwung ... img.wallstreet-online.de/smilies/wink.gif" style="max-width:560px" />
Ich habe noch folgendes Posting in der Diskussion ergänzt - just FYI:
If the Rayburn-Prospects has the extent of BlueSeals graphic (and probably it has, because it's a scale model of graphics from a previuos STX-AGM-presentation with a perfect fit to the Duncan #1 well location - all locations of the other Rayburn wells are make sense in this graphic - this is in my eyes the main evidence that this map is close to the truth), we talk about a discovery closer to the TCF-area than the "multiple hundreds" - area of BCFs.
All bet are now on HD #1 - If this well comes in, than we can expect at least 400 bcf from the middle wilcox only following BlueSeals reservoir calculations in the border of the polygons defined by D1, D2St1, GF1 and HD1 ( ... and the actual reservoir should have a larger extend then this narrow area ...).
In reference to Simon Ashtons formulation of "substantial" commercial rates at D1, my guess for the flowrates are something around 13 mmcfd from D1 and D2St1 - and GF1 could provide better rates. Not impossible that we have something around 40 mmcfd adding up this three wells.
At mesquite we had initial 300 barrels of condensate and 10 mmcfd from the four producing wells.
Therefore I think we can also expect at least around 500 bocd from this three wells togehter.
The NVP is ca. 5.- A$ per mcf (ref. the 2007 AGM presentation) - lets say something around 60 A$ for the condensate - so we would have a daily revenues of about 230,000 A$ from this three wells for the JV and 41,400 for STX (ca. 18%) or 1,242,000 A$ a month for STX
... sorry - I know a lot of speculation ... just my thoughts ... probably I am completly wrong ...
... am Mittwoch ist wieder News-Tag - vielleicht gibt es dann endlich die offiziellen Flowrates - zudem gab es in den letzten drei Jahren immer am 9. Januar eine sog. "Programm-Präsentation" - wäre natürlich jetzt super, wenn sie auch dieses Jahr so machen (nächste Woche müsste dann der "Activities-Report" veröffentlicht werden - auch der wird wohl aufschlussreich sein).