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Hong Kong, January 29, 2014 -- Moody's Investors Service says that POSCO's moderate operating results for 2013 were credit negative, but will not impact the steel-maker's Baa2 rating and stable outlook.
"Although POSCO's adjusted debt/EBITDA deteriorated to about 4.7x in 2013 from 4.2x in 2012 because of decreased earnings, we expect its financial leverage to improve to about 4x in 2014, a level consistent with its Baa2 rating," says Chris Park, a Moody's Vice President and Senior Credit Officer.
According to POSCO, its consolidated and unadjusted operating income fell 18% year-on-year to KRW3.0 trillion in 2013 due to moderate steel demand in Korea and China, and the strong won. Its reported debt is also estimated to have grown by 5% year-on-year owing to sizeable investments, which were partly mitigated by its deleveraging measures. These factors, which resulted in its increased financial leverage, have been incorporated in the rating downgrade of POSCO to Baa2 from Baa1 in November 2013.
The persistent weakness in the regional steel industry means that any meaningful recovery in POSCO's core steel margins -- EBITDA per ton -- is unlikely in 2014.
Nonetheless, Moody's expects POSCO's earnings to grow gradually over the next two years, driven by its large expansion in steel capacity, completed in 2013, and by its non-steel businesses. This should allow the company to improve its financial leverage, although its planned sizeable investments (KRW6.5 trillion in 2014) should necessitate an increase in debt.
Moody's also expects POSCO to continue pursuing measures to lower its debt level.
The principal methodology used in this rating was Moody's Rating Methodology for Global Steel Industry, published in October 2012. Please see the Credit Policy page on www.moodys.com for a copy of this methodology.
POSCO is one of the world's largest steel producers, with a dominant market position in Korea in terms of sales. It manufactures a broad range of steel products, including hot-rolled products, plates, wire rods, cold-rolled products, silicon steel sheets and stainless steel products.