unterbewerteter US-Transportgigant!

MarketNewsVideo.com , 01.25.11, 02:59 PM EST

In trading on Tuesday, trucking shares were relative leaders, along with vehicle makers like Harley Davidson

In trading on Tuesday, trucking shares were relative leaders, up on the day by about 1.2%. Leading the group were shares of YRC Worldwide , up about 8.5% and shares of Knight Transportation, up about 2.7% on the day.

Also showing relative strength are vehicle manufacturers shares, up on the day by about 1.2% as a group, led by Harley Davidson , trading up by about 8.4% and Navistar International, trading up by about 5.4% on Tuesday.

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http://www.forbes.com/2011/01/25/...etnewsvideo.html?partner=yahootix

Good Technical Set-ups Hard to Find
For active technical traders there is currently a dearth of great chart set-ups to get excited about after some sloppy actions in the chart. Evan Lazarus of T3Live.com says the sloppy, unattractive charts a sign to be cautious.

One chart that does present a good risk-reward ratio is transportation services company YRC Worldwide Inc. (YRCW), which broke out above prior resistance at $4.10 towards the end of the day on about 400% average voulme. Despite a huge move yesterday, Evan feels the stock should see some upside follow-through after getting hit hard for the last few years. The next resistance area for the stock is $4.90 to $5.40.
 

http://blog.t3live.com/2011/01/pro-business-state-of-union-lifts.html

YRC Worldwide Inc. (YRCW)

YRC Worldwide Inc. (YRCW) chart analysis ;
We have a great combo here, first initial buy trigger was caused by a GVN condition.
It did give us our "A" level (ABC pattern)
We now have a full ABC pattern buy trigger
ABC, GVN ??? Look at the right hand side of the blog for more details

Acergy S.A. | Stock Trkr Trading Resources

Good Technical Set-ups Hard to Find

For active technical traders there is currently a dearth of great chart set-ups to get excited about after some sloppy actions in the chart. Evan Lazarus of T3Live.com says the sloppy, unattractive charts are a sign to be cautious.

One chart that does present a good risk-reward ratio is transportation services company YRC Worldwide Inc. (YRCW), which broke out above prior resistance at $4.10 toward the end of the day on about 400% average volume. Despite a huge move yesterday, Evan feels the stock should see some upside follow-through after getting hit hard for the last few years. The next resistance area for the stock is $4.90 to $5.40.
 

http://www.minyanville.com/businessmarkets/...nion/1/26/2011/id/32391

YRC Worldwide Shares surge on Positive Signs in Trucking Industry

YRC Worldwide Inc. (Nasdaq: YRCW) shares spiked 12.5% to $4.24 on January 25,after the American Trucking Associations (ATA) revealed that Truck Tonnage Index jumped 2.2% last month hitting the highest level since September 2008 and posting positive signs that freight volumes could recover. Moreover, the Association reported that trucking tonnage increased 4.2% in December 2010, compared to December 2009 and predicted that freight levels could grow moderately during the first half of 2011, increasing the speed after that.

YRCW shares lost 82% during 2010 due to challenging conditions in the trucking industry that caused the company to lose money in every quarter over the last years. The company is currently struggling to avoid bankruptcy under a heavy debt load and tough competition.  It negotiated with its lenders to soften the terms of its debt, asked workers to accept pay cuts and sold real estate to continue operations.

As a part of the recovery plan, YRCW has been selling assets, reducing costs through layoffs, while working to recapitalize and reduce debt levels. For the first 9 months of 2010, it succeeded to shrink the debt by $73 million. However, the debt balance of $1.1 billion, as of September 30, 2010, threatens severely the company’s ability to continue as going concern. Moreover, YRCW has recently finished the 19th renegotiation of its loan obligations to its bankers, ensuring the banks that it would use any future operating cash flows primarily to service the debt.

Additionally, YRCW achieved a deal with the Teamsters union to maintain 15% wage cuts, representing $35o million a year in labor concessions, which were accepted last year through 2015. The Teamsters union has also agreed to provide additional time for the company and its key stakeholders to finalize plans to recapitalize the company’s balance sheet.  YRCW now has until March 15 to enter into an agreement and May 13 to get it completed.

The trucking industry was struck exceptionally hard during the economic crisis with nearly 2,000 companies wiped out of business and others reducing the size of their fleets. Only in 2010 demand volume begun to rise, giving truckers improved fundamentals. For 2010, the trucking tonnage was up 5.7% compared with 2009, according to ATA. In recent quarters, reports from major trucking companies suggest that shipment weights and load count are both increasing as various markets recover. Truck freight volume, however, remains quite unpredictable.

Over the last quarters, YRCW has begun to show signs of stabilizing. Revenue for Q3 2010 fell slightly to $1.14 billion from $1.2 billion a year earlier. Shipments per day at the company’s National unit fell 12.2% in Q3 2010 over Q3 2009. At its Regional unit, shipments were up 2.5%. However, sequentially the company reported an improvement in shipments per day tonnage of 1.2% at the National unit and 2.1% at its regional unit. Moreover, during Q3 2010, the company reported a dramatic reduction in its losses as it benefited from lower costs as well as a modest recovery in freight. YRCW posted a loss of $61.7 million, or $1.33 per share, compared with a year-ago loss of $158.7 million, or $66.66 per share.

Going forward, YRCW plans consolidation of facilities in 2011 to further pare down expenses and optimize the fleet management to create greater density moving to and from its delivery terminals.  However, the huge indebtedness remains the biggest challenge for the company. Favorable industry trends, combined with an optimized cost structure and highly leveraged balance sheet, positions YRCW well to generate significant returns to its shareholders if it succeeds to breakeven. However, the company failed to catch the tailwind of trucking tonnage recovery in 2010 losing market share to its direct competitors, which reported growing daily tonnage levels and revenues in 2010. As the freight levels are expected to keep up the same growth pace in 2011, YRCW has another opportunity to capture the industry’s expansion and turn it into shareholder’s value.

http://www.microstockprofit.com/2011/01/26/...s-in-trucking-industry/

As explained in our education section, short interest is a useful sentiment indicator that measures the level of investor pessimism toward a stock. While it isn't always a simple "long only" indicator, it can give you insight into situations where you might see concentrated buying demand. The purpose of this post is to highlight heavily-shorted stocks that could be in the midst of a potential short covering rally. More details about the methodology are listed below.

http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/commentary/...og.aspx?blogid=104699

So so, durchbrochen also. Shortangriff wahrscheinlich, 4,30 jetzt.

Wednesday, January 26, 2011

YRC Worldwide Inc. (NASDAQ:YRCW) is today's 3rd best focus stock. Its daily price change was 12.5% in the previous trading day. Its upside potential is -50% based on brokerage analysts' average target price of $2 on the stock. It is rated positively by 0% of the 13 analyst(s) covering it. Its long-term annual earnings growth is 15% based on analysts'

http://www.cnanalyst.com/2011/01/...ccbg-hog-glw-ash-jan-26-2011.html

http://www.beaconequity.com/...ruck-tonnage-index-figures-2011-01-26/

By Donna Baker on Jan 26, 2011 in Business

http://www.techrockz.com/2011/01/26/trucking-stock-on-watch-yrcw/

http://www.tech24.org/...ld-be-on-your-watchlist-nsrgy-fmcc-yrcw.html

Nothing can be more disconcerting than watching your stock tumble week after week, month after month, as your portfolio value rapidly declines. If there is a serious fundamental flaw to the company, the price may look like a weakening heartbeat as it eventually flatlines. At other times, the company is able to turn the situation around in a surprising reversal.

Are these losing stocks reversal picks that are about to pop? Let’s examine our criteria for picking such losers and a potential for turnaround.

Reversal Stock Selection Process

• Some positive earnings growth.

We will accept any one of the three as a good sign: Positive EPS growth this year, expected positive growth next year, or for the next five years. Remember, EPS does not need to be positive, just the growth.

• Price over $1 and average volume over 500,000
• 50% or more below 52-week high
• 10%+ price jump over past month

Before I get into the list of stocks, one very odd common denominator in all the listed stocks is their small micro-cap status. Here they are in no particular order:

1. Arena Pharmaceuticals (ARNA)
2. Conexant Systems (CNXT)
3. A-Power Energy Generation Systems (APWR)
4. YRC Worldwide (YRCW)
5. Corinthian Colleges (COCO)
6. Evergreen Energy (EEE)
7. Biodel (BIOD)
8. SinoCoking Coal & Coke Chemical Industries (SCOK)

Analyzing a Few Financial Oddities

• Apart from the Chinese stocks APWR and SCOK, the rest are from the U.S.

• Keep in mind, these are some of the most dangerous stocks to play with. First, they are off their lows for a good reason. ARNA is struggling to gain FDA approval with potentially devastating consequences. Others have terrible earnings growth over the past five years, such as CNXT, APWR, and YRCW. A spike in earnings may need to prove itself before shareholders buy in with any great force. Also, even rising stocks suffer from the micro-cap problem of raising capital through huge dilution.

• The average recommendation for all the above listed tickers is a hold.

• Many have low insider ownership. BIOD and SCOK have insider ownership above 30%.

• Institutional ownership is an important aspect of providing fundamental support. Companies with over 30% institutional ownership are ARNA, COCO, and EEE. In the 20-30% range are CNXT, APWR, and BIOD. Net positive insider transactions over the last quarter are ARNA, APWR, YRCW, and EEE. Of course, the more institutions own, the more meaningful a percentage increase becomes.

• High short ratio can be a fitting sign of stocks unworthy of higher valuations. It can also provide fuel should the price move strongly upwards. Stocks with a float short 10% and higher are ARNA, APWR, YRCW, COCO, and BIOD.

• Almost all are optionable and can be used with such strategies as listed in this blue chip covered call piece.

Again, while these can be some of the highest risk plays in the market -- namely, micro-cap stocks suffering from one or more serious problems -- they can also be some of the most profitable reversal plays if you feel they are trading near bottom levels and are on the upward climb. But do your homework; check each stock thoroughly, as every one has a reason for being unloved.

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.

http://seekingalpha.com/article/...d-stocks-ready-to-pop?source=yahoo

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