ECB Stands Firm on Greek Debt
ECB Chief Reiterates Bank's Opposition to Extending Maturities on Bonds in First Response to German Minister
FRANKFURT—European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet stood his ground in the high-stakes dispute between the bank and Germany over how to handle Greece's debt burden, reiterating the ECB's opposition to extending the maturities on Greek debt.
t was the bank's first public response to a letter from Germany's finance minister calling for such a rescheduling earlier this week.
"We would say it's an enormous mistake to embark on a decision that would lead to a credit event" for Greece, Mr. Trichet told a news conference. He insisted on "no credit event, no selective default," he said.
That position directly contradicts a German proposal to induce investors to swap Greek government bonds maturing in 2012 to 2014 for new bonds that would mature seven years later. Such a bond exchange would probably amount to a "selective default" by Greece, according to a German government paper circulated to other euro-zone governments last week.
The ECB is "categorical in ruling out" any form of Greek debt restructuring in the current environment, said Marco Valli, economist at lender UniCredit in Milan.
Mr. Trichet also signaled that the ECB is likely to raise interest rates next month, saying "strong vigilance" is needed to quell "upside" inflation risks—a phrase that in the ECB's history has almost always preceded a rate increase at the bank's following monthly meeting. The ECB decided Thursday to keep its key interest rate at 1.25% for now.
Greece's Debt Crisis
View Interactive
But Mr. Trichet's anti-inflation rhetoric was overshadowed by the unfolding crisis in Greece. European leaders are scrambling to put together another aid package by July to keep Athens afloat, and which role the private sector should play has become a major sticking point.
Germany and the ECB are on a collision course, and time is running out before Greece runs out of cash in mid-July.
Germany is so far refusing to make new money available unless Greek bondholders carry part of the burden via a bond swap. German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schäuble raised the stakes earlier this week by writing Mr. Trichet and euro-zone finance ministers a letter spelling out a seven-year bond-maturity-extension plan via a debt swap that he said would bring a "quantified and substantial contribution of bondholders."
The ECB's consent to such a swap is needed because the central bank must agree to accept the restructured Greek bonds as collateral for loans to banks. Otherwise, Greece's banks could face collapse. But ECB officials have insisted they can't accept Greek government bonds as collateral if Greece is technically in default, warning that even a simple form of Greek debt restructuring could undermine fragile investor confidence in the bonds and banks of other struggling countries on the euro-zone periphery.
The ECB won't budge on its collateral rules, Mr. Trichet said on Thursday.
The ECB, backed by the French government, supports a strictly voluntary agreement by banks to buy new Greek bonds when existing bonds mature. Berlin thinks such a gentleman's agreement would be insufficient, and wants to start negotiating with banks to swap soon-to-mature Greek debt for new paper, using a mixture of incentives and threats.
Ratings agencies have suggested the German plan would be considered a debt default by Greece, even if European officials try to present the exchanges as voluntary.
"It's hard to imagine a voluntary situation" for private-sector holders of Greek debt, said Bart Oosterveld, managing director at Moody's Investors Service.
Mr. Trichet said the ECB wouldn't participate in any debt rollover with its own Greek bond holdings. The ECB has purchased more than €75 billion ($109 billion) of government bonds of peripheral euro-zone countries. It doesn't provide a breakdown, but economists estimate that its Greek bond stake exceeds €40 billion.
Mr. Trichet repeatedly declined to comment on the specifics of Mr. Schäuble's proposal, saying he is "not embarking on a dialogue" with individual ministries. Still, the implication of his remarks was clear, analysts said: Berlin's plan is a nonstarter in Frankfurt.
"It's a giant poker game, and it's hard to predict what will happen," said Melvyn Krauss, senior fellow at the Hoover Institution at Stanford University, California.
In a nod to the problems facing the periphery, the ECB voted to extend unlimited loans to commercial banks at low interest rates at least through the third quarter.
Those loans are a lifeline to Greek and Irish banks that can't meet their funding needs in the private markets.
Write to Brian Blackstone at brian.blackstone@dowjones.com
Source
online.wsj.com/article/...5641718831946.html?mod=ITP_pageone_3
ECB Chief Reiterates Bank's Opposition to Extending Maturities on Bonds in First Response to German Minister
FRANKFURT—European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet stood his ground in the high-stakes dispute between the bank and Germany over how to handle Greece's debt burden, reiterating the ECB's opposition to extending the maturities on Greek debt.
t was the bank's first public response to a letter from Germany's finance minister calling for such a rescheduling earlier this week.
"We would say it's an enormous mistake to embark on a decision that would lead to a credit event" for Greece, Mr. Trichet told a news conference. He insisted on "no credit event, no selective default," he said.
That position directly contradicts a German proposal to induce investors to swap Greek government bonds maturing in 2012 to 2014 for new bonds that would mature seven years later. Such a bond exchange would probably amount to a "selective default" by Greece, according to a German government paper circulated to other euro-zone governments last week.
The ECB is "categorical in ruling out" any form of Greek debt restructuring in the current environment, said Marco Valli, economist at lender UniCredit in Milan.
Mr. Trichet also signaled that the ECB is likely to raise interest rates next month, saying "strong vigilance" is needed to quell "upside" inflation risks—a phrase that in the ECB's history has almost always preceded a rate increase at the bank's following monthly meeting. The ECB decided Thursday to keep its key interest rate at 1.25% for now.
Greece's Debt Crisis
View Interactive
But Mr. Trichet's anti-inflation rhetoric was overshadowed by the unfolding crisis in Greece. European leaders are scrambling to put together another aid package by July to keep Athens afloat, and which role the private sector should play has become a major sticking point.
Germany and the ECB are on a collision course, and time is running out before Greece runs out of cash in mid-July.
Germany is so far refusing to make new money available unless Greek bondholders carry part of the burden via a bond swap. German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schäuble raised the stakes earlier this week by writing Mr. Trichet and euro-zone finance ministers a letter spelling out a seven-year bond-maturity-extension plan via a debt swap that he said would bring a "quantified and substantial contribution of bondholders."
The ECB's consent to such a swap is needed because the central bank must agree to accept the restructured Greek bonds as collateral for loans to banks. Otherwise, Greece's banks could face collapse. But ECB officials have insisted they can't accept Greek government bonds as collateral if Greece is technically in default, warning that even a simple form of Greek debt restructuring could undermine fragile investor confidence in the bonds and banks of other struggling countries on the euro-zone periphery.
The ECB won't budge on its collateral rules, Mr. Trichet said on Thursday.
The ECB, backed by the French government, supports a strictly voluntary agreement by banks to buy new Greek bonds when existing bonds mature. Berlin thinks such a gentleman's agreement would be insufficient, and wants to start negotiating with banks to swap soon-to-mature Greek debt for new paper, using a mixture of incentives and threats.
Ratings agencies have suggested the German plan would be considered a debt default by Greece, even if European officials try to present the exchanges as voluntary.
"It's hard to imagine a voluntary situation" for private-sector holders of Greek debt, said Bart Oosterveld, managing director at Moody's Investors Service.
Mr. Trichet said the ECB wouldn't participate in any debt rollover with its own Greek bond holdings. The ECB has purchased more than €75 billion ($109 billion) of government bonds of peripheral euro-zone countries. It doesn't provide a breakdown, but economists estimate that its Greek bond stake exceeds €40 billion.
Mr. Trichet repeatedly declined to comment on the specifics of Mr. Schäuble's proposal, saying he is "not embarking on a dialogue" with individual ministries. Still, the implication of his remarks was clear, analysts said: Berlin's plan is a nonstarter in Frankfurt.
"It's a giant poker game, and it's hard to predict what will happen," said Melvyn Krauss, senior fellow at the Hoover Institution at Stanford University, California.
In a nod to the problems facing the periphery, the ECB voted to extend unlimited loans to commercial banks at low interest rates at least through the third quarter.
Those loans are a lifeline to Greek and Irish banks that can't meet their funding needs in the private markets.
Write to Brian Blackstone at brian.blackstone@dowjones.com
Source
online.wsj.com/article/...5641718831946.html?mod=ITP_pageone_3
