Goldpreis-Szenarien

Der Crash in China, gepaart mit wenig erfreulichen US-Marktdaten, haben heute
zu erheblichen Verwerfungen an den WP-Märkten geführt und die lange erwartete
Korrektur induziert.

Ich hatte im früheren Handel meine kürzlich abgegebenen Scheine auf Gold ca.
5% billiger zurückgekauft. Stiegen sie zunächst um eben jene 5% wieder an, so
sackten sie im weiteren Verlauf zweistellig ab: der Crash wirkte auch hier.

Hier einige Stimmen zur Lage und kfr. weiteren Entwicklung beim Gold:

" ``The stock market didn't collapse until after gold's close,'' said Billy Flahive, a gold trader and partner at Eagle Futures Inc. in New York. ``The liquidation got piled into gold. When they liquidate the ETF, they've got to liquidate gold bullion,
so they had to come to the market. They did it after the close so it's a little dramatic.''

Investment demand for bullion jumped 29 percent last year in China, the second- biggest buyer of gold after India, according to the producer-funded World Gold Council. China's appetite for commodities helped drive the prices of copper and
crude oil to records last year.

Gold's losses may be limited should investors seek a haven from turmoil in the markets, analysts said.

``If anything, the sell-off in Chinese stocks will increase demand for gold,'' said James Turk, founder of GoldMoney.com, which had $186 million worth of gold and silver in storage for investors at the end of January.

``As investors in China get burned with stocks, they will shy away from specu-
lative stuff, and opt for the security that gold offers,'' Turk said before the close of Comex floor trading. "

Quelle: Bloomberg.com / by Pham-Duy Nguyen

Anm.:
Der Spotmarkt/Asia notierte um 17:20 ET erholt bei 663,20 USD/oz. (TT: 558,-).
Ich werde morgen nachkaufen. Ferner eine Pos. Platin eingehen.

Mit einem Wort: offenbar. So jedenfalls sieht es Peter Grandich (Grandich Letter):

"SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- Gold futures closed Wednesday with a loss of
nearly $15 an ounce, with the market still reeling a day after a global stock-market sell-off.
But prices finished higher for the month and most analysts remain convinced that
the decline for the day was only a temporary setback in the metal's climb toward
$700. "For many months now, gold has managed to correct very overbought
conditions in a manner of a day or two, and it would not surprise me that it has
done so again," said Peter Grandich, editor of the Grandich Letter.
"Virtually all surprises have been to the upside, and I suspect another one is coming as early as tomorrow -- with a quick run towards $700 faster than most can imagine today," he said, in e-mailed commentary.  

Als denn: lass krachen, Pete.