der Euro/Dollar Long Thread

nur gut dass ich gestern noch aus allen eur/usd calls raus bin...

cosinus:

 

und ich bin lon, sowas! *g o. T.

04.01.05 17:27

 

 

um halb sechs abends noch long und über nacht plötzlich raus, das sind immer die geilsten!!

kann ich verkraften nach dem gestrigen Tag, hol ich mir mit DaxPut schon wieder rein!

Gruß Pichel

morgen zusammen...Zinserhöhung hin oder her, was da derzeit abgeht (Tageskerzen!) ist trotzdem ziemlich krass...

bei ca. 1,3150 bin ich wieder dabei

mfg
füx

Kauf CB8L7L zu 4,03 (1,3175)

mfg
füx

...der euro müsste mal langsam einen kleinen sprung nach oben machen.

wo hängts?

dachte ich mir auch; aber die ganze Börsenwelt scheint derzeit wohl Euro-Short zu sein...scheint "ihnen" ja egal zu sein, dass der Euro in 5 Tagen fast 5 Cent verloren hat...bin auch etwas ratlos derzeit...

möchte aber trotzdem bei der (eventuellen) Gegenbewegung auf jeden Fall dabei sein ! auch wenns riskant ist...

eine Bitte hätte ich an Dich: kannst du mir den Link zur Saxo-Bank hereinstellen (wenn kostenlos)...war gerade auf deren Homepage, konnte aber die täglichen Markteinschätzungen zu den Devisen nicht finden...danke im voraus

füx

nur als registrierter user (2x täglich) per email.

nichts mit link.

gruß



www.saxobank.com/Default.aspx?id=1458

THEMES TO WATCH – UPCOMING SESSION

European confidence data may be somewhat in focus – this data is released at 10:00 GMT- 

USD may head to weaker end of the range as the market could look to take its breath before Friday’s important US employment data.

Trading Note: If the markets want to take the Friday nonfarm payrolls seriously (something they haven’t really done the last couple of times around as markets were more concerned with the central bank reserve situation), then it seems like we could see a reasonable-size pullback to the weaker end of the EUR range.The JPY may strengthen again.

---

EURUSD EURUSD could find support at the 1.3250 area today and may head higher and even break 1.3300 area resistance. The maximum topside for now would seem to be around 1.3350, however, as EURUSD may head lower toward 1.3100 further out.

Resist. 1.3439 1.3350 1.3232 1.3172 1.3083 Support

---

GBPUSD GBPUSD eased well back toward 1.8800 support. The pair could rally a bit today if the market sees a round of USD weakness ahead of tomorrow’s employment data. The maximum potential upside for now would seem to be around 1.8940. Resistance may materialize soon as this pair looks like it may head to 1.8650 or lower further out.

Resist. 1.9072 1.8947 1.8792 1.8697 1.8572 Support

---

USDJPY USDJPY found strong resistance yesterday. 104.30 is minor resistance and 104.75 a more important resistance level. A break of the latter could see USDJPY to 105.75. A fall through 103.25, however, could jeopardize the whole rally potential of this pair.

Resist. 106.82 105.57 104.56 103.07 101.82 Support

---

EURJPY EURJPY fell all the way to the recent lows just below 138.00, but managed to find support there and has headed higher to 138.30 minor resistance. The pair could pull higher still to the higher resistance at 139.00, but the chart remains distinctly bearish and EURJPY may head quickly to 137.00 and then 135.00 further out.

Resist. 140.58 139.43 138.34 137.13 135.98 Support

 

 

füx

paro

Gruß Pichel

The dollar's mostly technical-driven, early-year bounce from
December's multiyear lows was accelerated by the release on Tuesday of
minutes from the Fed's Dec. 14 policy meeting.

Currency analysts at Nomura Securities believe markets are
interpreting the minutes as an indication that the Fed will not take a
break in the tightening cycle. "Hence, depending on the incoming data,
all meetings for the foreseeable future are likely to deliver 25 basis
point rate hikes."

Higher U.S. rates could draw more foreign capital to U.S. markets, a
prospect that pushed the euro to as low as $1.3213 earlier. One euro
was worth $1.3255 in late trade, down 0.2 percent on the day.

The dollar gained initially against the Japanese yen, but turned
negative. One dollar was worth 104.10 yen, a loss of 0.2 percent
compared to where it stood in late U.S. trading Tuesday.

Short-term interest-rate futures contracts reflect increased
expectations among investors that the Fed's current 2.25 percent target
will be as high as 3.25 percent by the conclusion of the central
bank's June meeting. Before, financial markets thought the Fed might
pause in raising rates by the late spring.

Foreign capital inflows are seen as a key short-term offset to record
U.S. trade and budget deficits, bringing relative stability to the
economy and the dollar.

U.S. data, for the most part, continue to outshine results from the
world's other economic heavyweights.

The eurozone purchasing managers' index for the services sector was
unchanged at 52.6 in December.

The key indicator for currency markets has been the imbalance in the
U.S. current account, a broad measure of trade that includes investment
flows.

It stands at more than 5 percent of U.S. gross domestic product, the
biggest share ever. The United States must draw enough foreign capital
to finance this gap, which it has managed to do so far.

This story was supplied by CBSMarketWatch. For further information see
www.cbsmarketwatch.com.

Copyright AFX News. Any extraction and
re-distribution of information in any form, electronic or otherwise is
strictly forbidden. Neither the hosting company nor AFX News warrants
the suitability of the service as a trading aid and neither accepts any
liability for losses howsoever incurred by clients.

bin wohl wieder mal auf der falschen Seite *g*...

bleib trotzdem long

SL bei 1,3150

füx

gebe mich geschlagen...

VK CB8L7L zu 4,08 (1,24% Gewinn)

Arbeitsmarktdaten um 14:30 sind mir zu riskant...

füx

CB8L7L zu 3,99 (1,3168)

SL bei 1,3150

mfg
füx

Gruß Pichel

die 1,32 wären wichtig...

füx

here we go...fragt sich nur wie lange...

füx  

 

es schreit eigentlich nach einer (von mir aus kurzen) Gegenbewegung...

füx

wäre schon froh, wenn wir uns jetzt mal etwas von der 1,32 absetzen könnten...wäre mit 1,3240/50 auch schon sehr zufrieden...

wenn dir zurückerobert werden, nicht gut...

wenn ich seit 1,36+ short wäre und morgen wartet der Arbeitsmarktbericht, dann würde ich doch bei Kursen unter 1,32 Gewinne mitnehmen, oder ?

füchsleinlogik ?

auf jeden Fall bin ich raus, falls wir nochmals unter 1,3195 laufen sollten...ins Minus läuft mir diese Position auf keine Fall nicht mehr!

mfg und viel glück
füx