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Greeny
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na dann ...
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Meanwhile, we could be about to witness another rally in Chinese equities, perhaps not unlike the one we saw in the autumn of 2014 argues Christoffer Moltke-Leth of Saxo Bank's Singapore hub:
"There has been a nice rally in mainland Chinese stocks on talk that the government will take steps to address the ongoing domestic slowdown Prime minister Li Keqiang has called for a more active fiscal policy and the People's Bank of China also issued a report that mentioned the possibility of monetary easing."
This being China, the timing could well be part of a coordinated effort to ready markets for some kind of accommodation with key meetings in March due to set the government budgetary agendas for the year, says Moltke-Leth.
Monetary stimulus aside, the fundamentals in China which constitute nearly half the global copper trade, also appear to be improving.
Yesterday a Chinese manufacturing survey showed the country's factories are producing at the highest rate in five months on the back of strong domestic demand with output, work backlogs and new orders all increasing at a faster rate.
A new note from Caroline Bain of independent research house Capital Economics in London estimate growth in China’s apparent consumption at 14% last year.
While growth is expected to slow this year it's coming from a much higher base which should push the price to $7,200 per tonne ($3.26 a pound) by end-2015 and $8,000 ($3.63 a pound) by end-2016 according to Bain:
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www.mining.com/heres-copper-price-rallying-70901/
... das ist die Quelle aus der der liebe Björn in #6430mal wieder abgekupfert hat ... paar Sachen hat er allerdings weggelassen ...
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China dominates the global trade in just about every commodity including iron ore (representing more than 60% of world trade), copper (47%), coal (43%), nickel (36%), lead (44%) and zinc (41%), and the health of the world's second largest economy is crucial to the mining industry.
The copper price is highly correlated with Chinese PMI numbers and as the graph shows the copper price may have much further to climb from today's levels to close the demand gap.
While the Chinese economic is far from firing on all cylinders and the country's struggling property sector will continue to dampen demand for metals, the copper price is also being supported by signs of faster growth elsewhere.
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http://www.mining.com/...-week-high-after-chinese-factory-data-39357/
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