...Behind the Fee Dispute with Creston Moly"
Wednesday, May 11, 2011 8:32 AM
www.istockanalyst.com/business/news/...spute-with-creston-moly
Wednesday, May 11, 2011 8:32 AM
www.istockanalyst.com/business/news/...spute-with-creston-moly
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CRESTON MOLY CORP. = Neue Molybdän-Perle
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bei Creston, so tut sich auch einiges auf der Käuferseite seitens Mr. und Mrs. Anonymous.......
Mr. und Mrs. Anonymous sind heute sehr aktiv auf der Käuferseite, nicht schlecht.
RBC kauft 400k in den letzten zwei Handelsminuten zum Tageshöchstkurs! Sehr hohes Volumen heute: 2,428,494 Stücke...
de.advfn.com/...s&p=0&t=1&vol=1&cb=1127143677" style="max-width:560px" />
Datum / Zeit Kurs Volumen
16.05.2011 17:15:42 M 0,5400 500
16.05.2011 17:15:42 M 0,5400 500
16.05.2011 17:15:42 M 0,5400 500
16.05.2011 17:15:42 M 0,5400 5.000
16.05.2011 17:15:42 M 0,5400 1.500
16.05.2011 17:08:35 E 0,5400 100
16.05.2011 17:08:35 M 0,5400 8.500
16.05.2011 17:08:35 M 0,5400 10.000
16.05.2011 17:08:35 M 0,5400 5.000
16.05.2011 17:08:35 M 0,5400 10.000
16.05.2011 16:57:29 M 0,5500 1.000
16.05.2011 16:55:11 M 0,5500 500
16.05.2011 16:55:11 M 0,5500 500
16.05.2011 16:55:11 M 0,5500 3.000
16.05.2011 16:53:28 M 0,5500 500
16.05.2011 16:53:24 M 0,5500 500
16.05.2011 16:53:20 M 0,5500 500
16.05.2011 16:53:16 M 0,5500 500
16.05.2011 16:53:13 M 0,5500 500
16.05.2011 16:52:57 M 0,5500 1.500
16.05.2011 16:52:44 M 0,5500 6.000
16.05.2011 16:52:44 M 0,5500 500
16.05.2011 16:52:44 M 0,5500 3.000
16.05.2011 16:52:44 M 0,5500 7.000
16.05.2011 16:52:44 M 0,5500 500
16.05.2011 16:52:44 M 0,5500 5.000
16.05.2011 16:52:44 M 0,5500 500
16.05.2011 16:52:44 M 0,5500 500
16.05.2011 15:47:30 M 0,5600 7.000
16.05.2011 15:47:30 M 0,5600 3.000
16.05.2011 15:47:30 M 0,5600 500
16.05.2011 15:47:30 M 0,5600 8.000
16.05.2011 15:37:36 M 0,5600 2.000
16.05.2011 15:37:36 M 0,5600 500
16.05.2011 15:37:36 0,5600 0
da kommt meiner Meinung nach noch was richtig in Gang....
16.05.2011 17:15:42 M 0,5400 500
16.05.2011 17:15:42 M 0,5400 500
16.05.2011 17:15:42 M 0,5400 500
16.05.2011 17:15:42 M 0,5400 5.000
16.05.2011 17:15:42 M 0,5400 1.500
16.05.2011 17:08:35 E 0,5400 100
16.05.2011 17:08:35 M 0,5400 8.500
16.05.2011 17:08:35 M 0,5400 10.000
16.05.2011 17:08:35 M 0,5400 5.000
16.05.2011 17:08:35 M 0,5400 10.000
16.05.2011 16:57:29 M 0,5500 1.000
16.05.2011 16:55:11 M 0,5500 500
16.05.2011 16:55:11 M 0,5500 500
16.05.2011 16:55:11 M 0,5500 3.000
16.05.2011 16:53:28 M 0,5500 500
16.05.2011 16:53:24 M 0,5500 500
16.05.2011 16:53:20 M 0,5500 500
16.05.2011 16:53:16 M 0,5500 500
16.05.2011 16:53:13 M 0,5500 500
16.05.2011 16:52:57 M 0,5500 1.500
16.05.2011 16:52:44 M 0,5500 6.000
16.05.2011 16:52:44 M 0,5500 500
16.05.2011 16:52:44 M 0,5500 3.000
16.05.2011 16:52:44 M 0,5500 7.000
16.05.2011 16:52:44 M 0,5500 500
16.05.2011 16:52:44 M 0,5500 5.000
16.05.2011 16:52:44 M 0,5500 500
16.05.2011 16:52:44 M 0,5500 500
16.05.2011 15:47:30 M 0,5600 7.000
16.05.2011 15:47:30 M 0,5600 3.000
16.05.2011 15:47:30 M 0,5600 500
16.05.2011 15:47:30 M 0,5600 8.000
16.05.2011 15:37:36 M 0,5600 2.000
16.05.2011 15:37:36 M 0,5600 500
16.05.2011 15:37:36 0,5600 0
da kommt meiner Meinung nach noch was richtig in Gang....
Posted 5/16/2011 11:02 AM by MidnightTrader.com Staff from Midnight Trader in Investing, Commodities
Read more: community.nasdaq.com/News/2011-05/...oryid=76030#ixzz1MYRuchGr
Credit Suisse has lowered its estimates but maintained a Neutral rating and $4.25 target price on Mercator Minerals Limited (ML.TO) after adding El Creston to its model.
Event: "We have assumed that the proposed acquisition of Creston Moly Corp. by Mercator is successful, and have therefore included the acquisition in our model.
"The acquisition of Creston could transform Mercator into a molybdenum focused miner, with substantial copper production to help diversify its sales mix. We estimate that by 2016, moly's contribution to revenue will exceed coppers, potentially reaching 70% in 11 years. Over the long-term, and assuming a start-up of El Pilar in 2013 and El Creston in 2015, we forecast Mercator will produce up to 35 Mlb of moly and between 100 - 150 Mlb of copper annually, a significant boost from our estimated 2011 production of 42 Mlb copper and 6 Mlb moly.
"El Creston should lower cash costs by 9% to $7.46/lb moly (co-product basis). On a by-product basis, we estimate El Creston to produce moly at a life-of-mine average cash cost of $6.43/lb moly."
Additional financing will be required. "To fund the $1 billion in capex we estimate may be spent between 2011 & 2015, we assume that $290M in debt will be acquired, and $130M in equity. We note that should capex increase at Mineral Park, or commodity prices fall significantly, we believe there is a risk of near-term dilution, although ML's hedge book should help minimize the risk."
No impact to NAV: "Incorporating the Creston acquisition in to our model has left our NAVPS estimate essentially unchanged at $5.01 (previously $5.07)."
Valuation: "We are lowering 2011/2012/2013 EPS estimates to $0.24/$0.41/$0.41 from $0.27/$0.52/$0.61 respectively. We have left our Neutral rating and C$4.25 target price unchanged. While the additional growth in Mercator's portfolio is positive, the financing headwinds limit our enthusiasm. Our target price is based on an 80/20 weighting of 1.0x our NAVPS of $5.01 and 5.0x our 2011 EBITDA estimate."
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of The NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc.
Read more: community.nasdaq.com/News/2011-05/...oryid=76030#ixzz1MYRZSuip
Read more: community.nasdaq.com/News/2011-05/...oryid=76030#ixzz1MYRuchGr
Credit Suisse has lowered its estimates but maintained a Neutral rating and $4.25 target price on Mercator Minerals Limited (ML.TO) after adding El Creston to its model.
Event: "We have assumed that the proposed acquisition of Creston Moly Corp. by Mercator is successful, and have therefore included the acquisition in our model.
"The acquisition of Creston could transform Mercator into a molybdenum focused miner, with substantial copper production to help diversify its sales mix. We estimate that by 2016, moly's contribution to revenue will exceed coppers, potentially reaching 70% in 11 years. Over the long-term, and assuming a start-up of El Pilar in 2013 and El Creston in 2015, we forecast Mercator will produce up to 35 Mlb of moly and between 100 - 150 Mlb of copper annually, a significant boost from our estimated 2011 production of 42 Mlb copper and 6 Mlb moly.
"El Creston should lower cash costs by 9% to $7.46/lb moly (co-product basis). On a by-product basis, we estimate El Creston to produce moly at a life-of-mine average cash cost of $6.43/lb moly."
Additional financing will be required. "To fund the $1 billion in capex we estimate may be spent between 2011 & 2015, we assume that $290M in debt will be acquired, and $130M in equity. We note that should capex increase at Mineral Park, or commodity prices fall significantly, we believe there is a risk of near-term dilution, although ML's hedge book should help minimize the risk."
No impact to NAV: "Incorporating the Creston acquisition in to our model has left our NAVPS estimate essentially unchanged at $5.01 (previously $5.07)."
Valuation: "We are lowering 2011/2012/2013 EPS estimates to $0.24/$0.41/$0.41 from $0.27/$0.52/$0.61 respectively. We have left our Neutral rating and C$4.25 target price unchanged. While the additional growth in Mercator's portfolio is positive, the financing headwinds limit our enthusiasm. Our target price is based on an 80/20 weighting of 1.0x our NAVPS of $5.01 and 5.0x our 2011 EBITDA estimate."
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of The NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc.
Read more: community.nasdaq.com/News/2011-05/...oryid=76030#ixzz1MYRZSuip
Viel kommt hier wohl doch nicht mehr in Gang, schade.
Leider sind meine Verkaufsaufträge bei 0,41 und 0,415 Euro nicht ausgeführt worden. Jetzt kann es unter Umständen recht lange dauern, bis dieser Level wieder erreicht wird...
auch Aktien "atmen".
Momentan läuft Creston unterhalb der Mindestmöglichkeiten.
Also Deine 0,41/0,415€ dürftest Du schneller bekommen als Du denkst.
Ich persönlich habe da andere "Vorstellungen" und warte, zumal es ja auch sehr interessant ist, wer da so alles auf der Käuferseite in zurückliegende Zeit aufgetaucht ist.
Ich lasse mich mich gerne angenehm überraschen.
Meine Meinung, auch berzüglich des Kurses weißt Du ja.
Denke, da ist noch einiges in Bewegung und bis Ende Juni ist noch etwas Zeit, wobei eine gute Creston-News im Mai ist auch akzeptabel.
Momentan läuft Creston unterhalb der Mindestmöglichkeiten.
Also Deine 0,41/0,415€ dürftest Du schneller bekommen als Du denkst.
Ich persönlich habe da andere "Vorstellungen" und warte, zumal es ja auch sehr interessant ist, wer da so alles auf der Käuferseite in zurückliegende Zeit aufgetaucht ist.
Ich lasse mich mich gerne angenehm überraschen.
Meine Meinung, auch berzüglich des Kurses weißt Du ja.
Denke, da ist noch einiges in Bewegung und bis Ende Juni ist noch etwas Zeit, wobei eine gute Creston-News im Mai ist auch akzeptabel.
de.advfn.com/...=staticchart&s=DJI^I\DJI&p=0&t=37" style="max-width:560px" alt="" />
de.advfn.com/...chart&s=tx^cms&p=1&t=39&vol=1" style="max-width:560px" />
kannst Du mir sagen, wer die Blöcke 25.000/20.000/24.500 verkauft / bzw. wer die Hauptkäufer in den ersten 15 Minuten waren?
Leider nicht!
Heute habe ich nicht so genau hingeschaut...
Heute habe ich nicht so genau hingeschaut...
17 May 2011
Macquarie Research Commodities Compendium
Page 24
Molybdenum
Deficit delayed by renewed Chinese exports
Molybdenum (moly) prices have been relatively stable over the past two years. While the market appears to have moved into deficit, China moved from being a substantial net importer in 2009 back to being a small net expor ter with suggestions of destocking taking place. There appears to be destocking of some of the speculative inventory built in 2010, leading to a non-Chinese market surplus. We expect prices to recover in late-2011 asChinese destocking ends, Chinese exporter quotas are filled and the market moves into defictin both China and ex-China.Prices remain well above historical normals supported by high-Chinese costs. Recent changes in the market structure (mainly due to rapidly rising Chinese demand and uncertain Chinese supply) have combined to create higher and more volatile prices and a higher pricefloor. Much higher prices have been established, although molybdenum has not been so heavily influenced by the wave of speculative and investment interest that has swept acrossthe exchange-traded commodity markets. This may eventually change with the new LME contract, but there is no sign of that happening in the short run as the LME contract hasremained largely unused.
We have left our price forecasts largely unchanged from previously due to a similar supply/demand picture. Our forecasts for prices for 2011 to 2015 are based on the assessment thatthe market will need high-cost Chinese marginal primary capacity to meet incremental demand. This capacity needs prices in the US$13 –17/lb range, and costs will most likley rise in US$ terms. It is really only in 2014 and 2015, when Freeport-McMoran‟s (FCX US,US$99.88, Not rated) Climax primary mine is fully onstream, that prices may relax as reliance on this high-cost Chinese supply eases.
In the short run (next two years), prices should be stronger due to an expected market deficit and lower 2012 production from two of the larger players, Thompson Creek and Rio Tinto, due to lower Mo grades. Also extremely high copper prices will probably push the main copper by-product produers to maximise copper at the expense of molydenum grades in orebodies. There could well be some downside supply risk. In 2013-2015, however, the expansion at Kennecott plus higher production from Climax plus a number of likely greenfield projects should push prices lower again. Freeport says that its 30m lbs/year Climax primary mine will be ready from 2012 but says the actual startup date will depend on market conditions –we are assumining a 2H2012 start, after prices aresustained above US$20/lb once again.
Following a (revised) 50m lb surplus in 2009, we estimate that there was a 8m lb deficit in 2010 and a further 32m lb of deficts in 2011 and 2012 combined, followed by a relatively balanced market in 2013/14 until a larger surplus emerges in 2015.
Chinese market fundamentals will play a key role in the market going forward and are the key uncertainty. We assume trend demand growth rate of 7 –8% a year from 2011 to 2015. We assume mine output and capacity will continue to grow steadily but from 2011 onwards, China will be a growing net importer of molybenum. A higher Chinese growth rate and some restictions on Chinese supply growth remain a possibility, pushing the market into an even larger deficit. Supply and demand outside China are still important. We estimate that demand outside China bounced back by 23% YoY in 2010, having fallen 25% in 2009 and 9% in 2008. We forecast that mine production outside China will grow at a reasonably rapid rate, with byproduct output up 11% this year after disruption but then fall back to 2% in 2012. China is back to being a small exporter of moly.
www.scribd.com/doc/55676517/5/No-stopping-the-supply-surge
Macquarie Research Commodities Compendium
Page 24
Molybdenum
Deficit delayed by renewed Chinese exports
Molybdenum (moly) prices have been relatively stable over the past two years. While the market appears to have moved into deficit, China moved from being a substantial net importer in 2009 back to being a small net expor ter with suggestions of destocking taking place. There appears to be destocking of some of the speculative inventory built in 2010, leading to a non-Chinese market surplus. We expect prices to recover in late-2011 asChinese destocking ends, Chinese exporter quotas are filled and the market moves into defictin both China and ex-China.Prices remain well above historical normals supported by high-Chinese costs. Recent changes in the market structure (mainly due to rapidly rising Chinese demand and uncertain Chinese supply) have combined to create higher and more volatile prices and a higher pricefloor. Much higher prices have been established, although molybdenum has not been so heavily influenced by the wave of speculative and investment interest that has swept acrossthe exchange-traded commodity markets. This may eventually change with the new LME contract, but there is no sign of that happening in the short run as the LME contract hasremained largely unused.
We have left our price forecasts largely unchanged from previously due to a similar supply/demand picture. Our forecasts for prices for 2011 to 2015 are based on the assessment thatthe market will need high-cost Chinese marginal primary capacity to meet incremental demand. This capacity needs prices in the US$13 –17/lb range, and costs will most likley rise in US$ terms. It is really only in 2014 and 2015, when Freeport-McMoran‟s (FCX US,US$99.88, Not rated) Climax primary mine is fully onstream, that prices may relax as reliance on this high-cost Chinese supply eases.
In the short run (next two years), prices should be stronger due to an expected market deficit and lower 2012 production from two of the larger players, Thompson Creek and Rio Tinto, due to lower Mo grades. Also extremely high copper prices will probably push the main copper by-product produers to maximise copper at the expense of molydenum grades in orebodies. There could well be some downside supply risk. In 2013-2015, however, the expansion at Kennecott plus higher production from Climax plus a number of likely greenfield projects should push prices lower again. Freeport says that its 30m lbs/year Climax primary mine will be ready from 2012 but says the actual startup date will depend on market conditions –we are assumining a 2H2012 start, after prices aresustained above US$20/lb once again.
Following a (revised) 50m lb surplus in 2009, we estimate that there was a 8m lb deficit in 2010 and a further 32m lb of deficts in 2011 and 2012 combined, followed by a relatively balanced market in 2013/14 until a larger surplus emerges in 2015.
Chinese market fundamentals will play a key role in the market going forward and are the key uncertainty. We assume trend demand growth rate of 7 –8% a year from 2011 to 2015. We assume mine output and capacity will continue to grow steadily but from 2011 onwards, China will be a growing net importer of molybenum. A higher Chinese growth rate and some restictions on Chinese supply growth remain a possibility, pushing the market into an even larger deficit. Supply and demand outside China are still important. We estimate that demand outside China bounced back by 23% YoY in 2010, having fallen 25% in 2009 and 9% in 2008. We forecast that mine production outside China will grow at a reasonably rapid rate, with byproduct output up 11% this year after disruption but then fall back to 2% in 2012. China is back to being a small exporter of moly.
www.scribd.com/doc/55676517/5/No-stopping-the-supply-surge
Über 800.000 Stücke von ingesamt gehandelten 1,24 Mio!!!
na, konntest Du nicht schlafen?
Hoffe, dass Dir Creston keine schlaflosen Nächte bereitet; denn da gibt es keinen Grund.
Ja, ist interessant, dass Haywood einsammelt, u.a. auch von CIBC.
Molybdän ist und dürfte weiterhin eine wesentliche Wirtschaftsrolle spielen, und das wissen auch die großen Player.
Hoffe, dass Dir Creston keine schlaflosen Nächte bereitet; denn da gibt es keinen Grund.
Ja, ist interessant, dass Haywood einsammelt, u.a. auch von CIBC.
Molybdän ist und dürfte weiterhin eine wesentliche Wirtschaftsrolle spielen, und das wissen auch die großen Player.
Schlaflose Nächte bereiten mir andere Werte wie CCE oder CLQ! Wegen Creston mache ich mir wenig Sorgen!
Die Aktie hat einen sehr stabilen Verlauf in den aktuellen Turbulenzen...
bigcharts.marketwatch.com/charts/...;width=579&mocktick=1" style="max-width:560px" />
Einziger Verkäufer: CIBC World Markets.
Warum hauen die alles raus???
Warum hauen die alles raus???
seitens einiger anderer besteht auch Intreresse und das ist auch gut so.......
Offenbar passiert hier nichts mehr, man hätte bei 0,60 Can$ alles 'raushauen sollen.
Jetzt läuft's wie immer:
Man glaubt, eine aussichtsreiche Aktie im Depot zu haben, doch die Buchgewinne sinken jeden Tag weiter. Ich überlege, den kompletten Bestand zu verkaufen, bevor nichts mehr an Gewinn übrigbleibt. Das Risiko scheint hier nach wie vor extrem gross zu sein, Mercator hin oder her...
Jetzt läuft's wie immer:
Man glaubt, eine aussichtsreiche Aktie im Depot zu haben, doch die Buchgewinne sinken jeden Tag weiter. Ich überlege, den kompletten Bestand zu verkaufen, bevor nichts mehr an Gewinn übrigbleibt. Das Risiko scheint hier nach wie vor extrem gross zu sein, Mercator hin oder her...
kaufen auch.
Wobei ich das nicht an Mercator festmache.
Also ich persönlich werde nur noch bis maximal Ende Juli insgesamt aktienmäßig aktiv bleiben und ziehe dann alles ab - nicht in €, vermutlich in CAD.
Das wird jetzt meiner Meinung nach nicht mehr allzu lang dauern und es wird sehr heftig.
Naja, es gibt auch einLeben danach (ohne Aktien).
Bis es soweit ist, bleib ich hier bis Ende Juni 2011, es sei denn, es ergibt sich hier noch zwischenzeitlich etwas Besonderes.
Wobei ich das nicht an Mercator festmache.
Also ich persönlich werde nur noch bis maximal Ende Juli insgesamt aktienmäßig aktiv bleiben und ziehe dann alles ab - nicht in €, vermutlich in CAD.
Das wird jetzt meiner Meinung nach nicht mehr allzu lang dauern und es wird sehr heftig.
Naja, es gibt auch einLeben danach (ohne Aktien).
Bis es soweit ist, bleib ich hier bis Ende Juni 2011, es sei denn, es ergibt sich hier noch zwischenzeitlich etwas Besonderes.
Independent Proxy Firms Recommend Creston Shareholders Vote for Merger with Mercator Minerals Ltd.
Monday June 6, 2011, 8:00 am
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/...rms-ccn-1807988064.html?x=0&.v=1
In diesem Sog wird Creston unweigerlich mit nach unten gezogen...
TSX Short Positions
Short positions outstanding at May 15/11 (with changes from Apr. 30/11).
Largest Short Positions
Security Ticker Total Short Change
New Gold NGD 33373509 4306187
Uranium One UUU 30777514 -37405
Quadra FNX Mining QUX 25856981 1974485
Thompson Creek Metals TCM 22399514 84254
Great Basin Gold GBG 21249807 -1201733
Equinox Minerals EQN 20003045 -353637
Osisko Mining OSK 18873448 -466053
Semafo SMF 18726068 4626
Kinross Gold K 15709485 883711
Aureus Mining AUE 11981717 11966817
Teck Resources TCK.B 11865640 439935
Lundin Mining LUN 10937361 -45813
Mercator Minerals ML 10342283 880179
Ivanhoe Mines IVN 9023321 359918
Silver Wheaton SLW 7686115 -392214
www.northernminer.com/issuesV2/VerifyLogin.aspx
TSX Short Positions
Short positions outstanding at May 15/11 (with changes from Apr. 30/11).
Largest Short Positions
Security Ticker Total Short Change
New Gold NGD 33373509 4306187
Uranium One UUU 30777514 -37405
Quadra FNX Mining QUX 25856981 1974485
Thompson Creek Metals TCM 22399514 84254
Great Basin Gold GBG 21249807 -1201733
Equinox Minerals EQN 20003045 -353637
Osisko Mining OSK 18873448 -466053
Semafo SMF 18726068 4626
Kinross Gold K 15709485 883711
Aureus Mining AUE 11981717 11966817
Teck Resources TCK.B 11865640 439935
Lundin Mining LUN 10937361 -45813
Mercator Minerals ML 10342283 880179
Ivanhoe Mines IVN 9023321 359918
Silver Wheaton SLW 7686115 -392214
www.northernminer.com/issuesV2/VerifyLogin.aspx
Der Kurs wird jedoch zum 22. Juni hin weiter gedrückt werden, um möglichst viele Kleinanleger loszuwerden, denen man die Aktie sonst teurer abkaufen müsste.
Da Creston bereits um 20% gefallen ist, wäre es m.E. Unsinn, jetzt noch zu verkaufen...
Da Creston bereits um 20% gefallen ist, wäre es m.E. Unsinn, jetzt noch zu verkaufen...
"atmet" Creston immer noch???
de.advfn.com/...chart&s=tx^cms&p=1&t=39&vol=1" style="max-width:560px" />
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