Comerica Bank's Texas Index Increases Again

DALLAS, June 29, 2017

"The Comerica Bank Texas Economic Activity Index increased for the eighth consecutive month in April. Six out of eight index components were positive, including nonfarm employment, unemployment insurance claims (inverted), rig count, house prices, state sales tax revenues and hotel occupancy. State exports and housing starts dipped for the month. The sustained broad-based positive momentum in the Texas economy has been supported by a rebound in oil drilling activity and by generally good conditions for the state's non-energy businesses. However, the recent dip in oil prices is challenging the resurgence of the state's energy sector. Since mid-May, the drilling rig count for Texas has stalled at about 460 active rigs, breaking the pattern of steady increases in the rig count over the last year," said Robert Dye, Chief Economist at Comerica Bank. "Increasing demand from the improving U.S. and global economies will keep the Texas economy expanding, even if we have less of a push from energy going forward."

The Texas Economic Activity Index consists of eight variables, as follows: nonfarm payrolls, exports, hotel occupancy rates, continuing claims for unemployment insurance, housing starts, sales tax revenues, house prices, and the Baker Hughes rotary rig count. All data are seasonally adjusted, as necessary, and indexed to a base year of 2008. Nominal values have been converted to constant dollar values. Index levels are expressed in terms of three-month moving averages.

Comerica Bank is a subsidiary of Comerica Incorporated (NYSE: CMA), the largest U.S. commercial bank headquartered in Texas, strategically aligned by three business segments: The Business Bank, The Retail Bank, and Wealth Management. Comerica focuses on relationships, and helping people and businesses be successful. In addition to a local banking center network throughout Dallas-Fort Worth, Houston, Austin, San Antonio and Kerrville, Texas, Comerica Bank locations can be found in Arizona, California, Florida and Michigan, with select businesses operating in several other states, as well as in Canada and Mexico.

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