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GRAND CANYON EDUCATION, INC. REPORTS FIRST QUARTER 2022 RESULTS

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PR Newswire

PHOENIX, May 4, 2022 /PRNewswire/ -- Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (NASDAQ: LOPE), ("GCE" or the "Company"), is a publicly traded education services company that currently provides services to 27 university partners.  GCE provides a full array of support services in the post-secondary education sector and has developed significant technological solutions, infrastructure and operational processes to provide superior services in these areas on a large scale.  GCE today announced financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2022. 

For the three months ended March 31, 2022:

  • Service revenue was $244.1 million for the first quarter of 2022, an increase of $7.2 million, or 3.0%, as compared to $236.9 million for the first quarter of 2021. The increase year over year in service revenue was primarily due to an increase in revenue per student year over year, partially offset by a decrease in university partner enrollments between years of 4.5%. The increase in revenue per student between years is primarily due to the service revenue impact of the increased room, board and other ancillary revenues at GCU in the first quarter of 2022 as compared to the prior year period (see - Impact of COVID-19 below) and the growth in the enrollment for students at off-campus classroom and laboratory sites. Service revenue per student for off-campus classroom and laboratory sites generates a significantly higher revenue per student than we earn under our agreement with GCU, as these agreements generally provide us with a higher revenue share percentage, the partners have higher tuition rates than GCU and the majority of their students are studying in the Accelerated Bachelor of Science in Nursing program and take more credits on average per semester.
  • Partner enrollments totaled 110,217 at March 31, 2022 as compared to 115,390 at March 31, 2021. University partner enrollments at our off-campus classroom and laboratory sites were 4,497, an increase of 1.2% over enrollments at March 31, 2021, which includes 283 GCU students at March 31, 2022. This growth rate has slowed over the past year primarily due to a 35.4% decline in OTA students. Year over year ABSN student growth has slowed to 5.7% at March 31, 2022. For further discussion (see – Impact of COVID-19 below). Enrollments at GCU declined to 106,003 at March 31, 2022, a decrease of 4.5% over enrollments at March 31, 2021. Enrollments for GCU ground students were 21,504 at March 31, 2022 up from 19,721 at March 31, 2021 primarily due to a 9.5% increase in traditional ground students between years. GCU's decline in its working adult students (online and professional studies) between March 31, 2021 and March 31, 2022 is discussed in Impact of COVID-19 below.
  • Operating income for the three months ended March 31, 2022 was $77.5 million, a decrease of $6.7 million as compared to $84.2 million for the same period in 2021. The operating margin for the three months ended March 31, 2022 was 31.7%, compared to 35.5% for the same period in 2021.
  • Interest income, net of interest expense decreased from $13.9 million in the first quarter of 2021 to $0.2 million in the first quarter of 2022 primarily due to the payoff of the Secured Note receivable and the cancellation and repayment of the credit facility, both of which occurred in the fourth quarter of 2021.
  • Income tax expense for the three months ended March 31, 2022 was $19.6 million, a decrease of $0.4 million, as compared to income tax expense of $20.0 million for the three months ended March 31, 2021. This decrease was the result of a decrease in our taxable income partially offset by an increase in our effective tax rate between periods. Our effective tax rate was 25.2% during the first quarter of 2022 compared to 20.4% during the first quarter of 2021. In the first quarter of 2021, the effective tax rate was significantly impacted by excess tax benefits of $4.4 million as a result of exercises of the remaining stock options held by employees prior to their expiration. Excess tax benefits totaled only $0.1 million in the first quarter of 2022. In the first quarter of 2022, the effective tax rate was also unfavorably impacted by an increase in the state income tax rate.
  • Net income decreased 25.6% to $58.1 million for the first quarter of 2022, compared to $78.1 million for the same period in 2021. As adjusted net income was $60.1 million and $79.8 million for the first quarters of 2022 and 2021, respectively.
  • Diluted net income per share was $1.66 and $1.69 for the first quarters of 2022 and 2021, respectively. As adjusted diluted net income per share was $1.72 for both the first quarters of 2022 and 2021.
  • Adjusted EBITDA decreased 5.4% to $90.4 million for the first quarter of 2022, compared to $95.6 million for the same period in 2021.

Liquidity and Capital Resources

Our unrestricted cash and cash equivalents and investments were $264.3 million and $600.9 million as of March 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021, respectively.  Our liquidity position, as measured by cash and cash equivalents and investments decreased by $336.6 million during fiscal 2022, which was largely attributable to the share repurchases during the first quarter of 2022 of $399.6 million, partially offset by cash provided by operating activities of $70.3 million.    

Impact of COVID-19

Since March 2020, the world has been, and continues to be, impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic. This contagious outbreak, which has continued to spread, and the related adverse public health developments that have occurred at various times since March 2020, including orders to shelter-in-place, travel restrictions and mandated non-essential business closures, have adversely affected workforces, organizations, customers, economies and financial markets globally. It has also disrupted the normal operations of many businesses, including ours, and that of our university partners. 


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Pursuant to the Master Services Agreement, GCE provides education services to GCU in return for 60% of GCU's tuition and fee revenues, which includes fee revenues from room, board, and other ancillary businesses including a student-run golf course and hotel.   GCU has four types of students: traditional ground university students, who attend class on its campus in Phoenix, Arizona and of which approximately 70% have historically lived on campus in university owned residence halls; professional studies students, who are working adult students who attend class one night a week on the Phoenix campus; online students who attend class fully online; and students who are studying in hybrid programs in which the ground component takes place at off-campus classroom and laboratory sites. 

The COVID-19 outbreak, as well as measures taken to contain its spread, has impacted GCU's students and its business in a number of ways.  A full description of those impacts is described in our 2021 Form 10-K.  Below is an explanation of those impacts from the COVID-19 pandemic, that had an effect on GCU's tuition and non-tuition revenue during 2021 and the first quarter of 2022 and, consequently, the service revenues we earned under the Master Services Agreement:  

  • Room, board and certain fee income was negatively impacted in the Spring semester of 2021 for GCU's traditional students as the first week of the Spring 2021 semester was completed in an online modality to provide greater flexibility for students returning to campus after the holidays. Face-to-face instruction for the semester commenced on January 11, 2021 and ended April 1, 2021 for approximately 80% of classes, followed by two weeks of online instruction. Approximately 3,500 traditional ground students elected to complete the Spring 2021 semester entirely in the online modality. GCU's ground traditional students residing on campus in GCU's residence halls returned to historical levels in the Spring semester of 2022 and the entire semester was conducted face-to-face. Thus, GCU experienced a significant year over year increase in these revenues in the first quarter of 2022 and thus the service revenues earned by GCE;
  • During the second quarter of 2020, GCU's online enrollment growth accelerated significantly into the high single digits. The increased level of online enrollment at that time resulted from a combination of factors including an acceleration of new students starting programs, a higher-than-expected number of students returning to the university that had taken a break from their program ("re-enters") and a lower-than-expected number of students deciding to drop out of or take a break from their program. We believe these trends were primarily caused by the shutdowns precipitated by the COVID-19 outbreak as greater numbers of working adults decided to return to school to finish undergraduate degree programs that they had previously started or to start new graduate degree programs during this time. These trends generally continued through the first quarter of 2021. Beginning in the second quarter of 2021, online enrollment growth rates as compared to the prior year period began to slow as both new enrollments and re-enters were down year over year, the numbers of students dropping out of school or taking periodic breaks in their program returned to historical levels and students completing their programs increased significantly on a year over year basis. These trends continued through the rest of 2021 and thus the year over year online growth rate continued to decline. The decline in new enrollments as compared to the prior year beginning in the second quarter of 2021 and continuing through the first quarter of 2022 were also the result of recruitment challenges caused by the reduced access to schools, hospitals, and businesses where our potential students work. We believe that as the year over year comparables return to historical levels and schools, hospitals and businesses fully reopen, our online enrollment growth rate will begin to re-accelerate; and
  • Professional studies students have declined significantly since the onset of the COVID-19 outbreak. Professional studies students at that time were converted to the online learning environment; since then, most have completed their programs while no new cohorts have been started until very recently. Now that the university has approved the recruitment of new professional studies cohorts, we anticipate that the number of these students will begin to grow.

The changes described above at GCU have impacted or will impact GCE's service revenue under the Master Services Agreement.  In addition, due to the limited operating expenses that we incur to deliver those services, there has been or will be a direct reduction in our operating profit and operating margin.

GCE also provides services to numerous university partners across the United States, including GCU, at off-campus classroom and laboratory sites.  The majority of these university partners' students are studying in the Accelerated Bachelor of Science in Nursing ("ABSN") program which is offered in a 12-16-month format in three or four academic semesters.  Beginning with the Summer 2021 semester we experienced a decline in revenue per student from students in these programs caused primarily by some students delaying their scheduled clinical courses due to vaccine mandates at hospital partners and we started to see a reduction in our off-site classroom and laboratory student enrollment growth rate due primarily to delays in the opening of scheduled new sites and requests by some of our university or hospital partners or their state regulatory boards to reduce cohort sizes due to concerns over potential clinical faculty availability caused by nursing and other healthcare employee shortages.  This is especially true with one of our university partner's Occupational Therapy Assistants ("OTA") program in which enrollment declined 35.4% between March 31, 2021 and 2022 as the university partner stopped admitting new students for most of 2021 due to clinical placement backlog.  None of our ABSN partners have stopped admitting new students but some locations that were scheduled to open in 2021 and 2022 have been pushed back and some existing partners have reduced incoming cohort sizes due to the concern that there are not enough nurses to serve as clinical faculty.

No other changes are currently anticipated with our other university partners related to the Spring 2022 semester that would have a material impact on GCE's service revenue, operating profit and operating margins.  However, if one of our university partners were to close an off-campus classroom and laboratory site prior to the end of the Spring 2022 semester or take some other action that adversely impacted program enrollment, such an event would reduce the service revenues earned by GCE. 

Beginning at the time of the COVID-19 outbreak a large percentage of our workforce began to work remotely and is expected to continue doing so for the foreseeable future.  This degree of remote working could increase risks in the areas of internal control, cyber security and the use of remote technology, and thereby result in interruptions or disruptions in normal operational processes.       

It is not possible for us to completely predict the duration or magnitude of the adverse results of the COVID-19 pandemic and its effects on our business, results of operations or financial condition at this time, but such effects may be material in future quarters.   

2022 Outlook 




Q2 2022:

Service revenue of between $199.5 million and $202.7 million; As Adjusted Operating Margin of between 17.2% and 18.4%; Effective tax rate of 24.9%; As Adjusted Diluted EPS of between $0.80 and $0.87 using 32.1 million diluted shares  

Q3 2022:

Service revenue of between $209.8 million and $218.0 million; As Adjusted Operating Margin of between 18.7% and 21.8%; Effective tax rate of 24.9%; As Adjusted Diluted EPS of between $0.93 and $1.12 using 31.7 million diluted shares  

Q4 2022:

Service revenue of between $254.2 million and $266.8 million; As Adjusted Operating Margin of between 34.1% and 37.2%; Effective tax rate of 24.5%; As Adjusted Diluted EPS of between $2.08 and $2.38 using 31.5 million diluted shares  

Full Year 2022:

Service revenue of between $907.6 million and $931.6 million; As Adjusted Operating Margin of between 26.4% and 28.3%; Effective tax rate of 24.9%; As Adjusted Diluted EPS of between $5.53 and $6.09 using 32.5 million diluted shares

Forward-Looking Statements

This news release contains "forward-looking statements" which include information relating to future events, future financial performance, strategies expectations, competitive environment, regulation, and availability of resources.  These forward-looking statements include, without limitation, statements regarding: proposed new programs; whether regulatory, economic, or business developments or other matters may or may not have a material adverse effect on our financial position, results of operations, or liquidity; projections, predictions, expectations, estimates, and forecasts as to our business, financial and operating results, and future economic performance; and management's goals and objectives and other similar expressions concerning matters that are not historical facts.  Words such as "may," "should," "could," "would," "predicts," "potential," "continue," "expects," "anticipates," "future," "intends," "plans," "believes," "estimates" and similar expressions, the negative of these expressions, as well as statements in future tense, identify forward-looking statements.

Forward-looking statements should not be read as a guarantee of future performance or results and will not necessarily be accurate indications of the times at, or by, which such performance or results will be achieved.  Forward-looking statements are based on information available at the time those statements are made or management's good faith belief as of that time with respect to future events and are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual performance or results to differ materially from those expressed in or suggested by the forward-looking statements.  Important factors that could cause our actual performance or results to differ materially from those expressed in or suggested by the forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to: the harm to our business, results of operations, and financial condition, and harm to our university partners resulting from epidemics, pandemics, including the continuing, and potential future, adverse effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, or public health crises: the occurrence of any event, change or other circumstance that could give rise to the termination of any of our key university partner agreements; our ability to properly manage risks and challenges associated with strategic initiatives, including potential acquisitions or divestitures of, or investments in, new businesses, acquisitions of new properties and new university partners, and expansion of services provided to our existing university partners; our failure to comply with the extensive regulatory framework applicable to us either directly as a third party education services provider or indirectly through our university partners, including Title IV of the Higher Education Act and the regulations thereunder, state laws and regulatory requirements, and accrediting commission requirements; competition from other education services companies in our geographic region and market sector, including competition for students, qualified executives and other personnel; the pace of growth of our university partners' enrollment and its effect on the pace of our own growth; our ability to, on behalf of our university partners, convert prospective students to enrolled students and to retain active students to graduation; our success in updating and expanding the content of existing programs and developing new programs in a cost-effective manner or on a timely basis for our university partners; the impact of any natural disasters or public health emergencies; and other factors discussed in reports on file with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including as set forth in Part I, Item 1A of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for period ended December 31, 2021, as updated in our subsequent reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on Form 10Q or Form 8-K.

Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date the statements are made.  You should not put undue reliance on any forward-looking statements.  We assume no obligation to update forward-looking statements to reflect actual results, changes in assumptions, or changes in other factors affecting forward-looking information, except to the extent required by applicable securities laws.  If we do update one or more forward-looking statements, no inference should be drawn that we will make additional updates with respect to those or other forward-looking statements.

Conference Call

Grand Canyon Education, Inc. will discuss its first quarter 2022 results and full year 2022 outlook during a conference call scheduled for today, May 4, 2022 at 4:30 p.m. Eastern time (ET).  To participate in the live call, investors should dial 877-577-1769 (domestic and Canada) or 706-679-7806 (international), passcode 3393146 at 4:25 p.m. (ET). The Webcast will be available on the Grand Canyon Education, Inc. website at www.gce.com.

A replay of the call will be available approximately two hours following the conclusion of the call, at 855-859-2056 (domestic) or 404-537-3406 (international), passcode 3393146.  It will also be archived at www.gce.com in the investor relations section for 60 days.

About Grand Canyon Education, Inc.

Grand Canyon Education, Inc. ("GCE"), incorporated in 2008, is a publicly traded education services company that currently provides services to 27 university partners.  GCE is uniquely positioned in the education services industry in that its leadership has over 30 years of proven expertise in providing a full array of support services in the post-secondary education sector and has developed significant technological solutions, infrastructure and operational processes to provide superior services in these areas on a large scale.  GCE provides services that support students, faculty and staff of partner institutions such as marketing, strategic enrollment management, counseling services, financial services, technology, technical support, compliance, human resources, classroom operations, content development, faculty recruitment and training, among others.  For more information about GCE visit the Company's website at www.gce.com.

Grand Canyon Education, Inc., 2600 W. Camelback Road, Phoenix, AZ 85017, www.gce.com.

GRAND CANYON EDUCATION, INC.

Consolidated Income Statements

(Unaudited)




Three Months Ended




March 31, 




2022


2021


(In thousands, except per share data)








Service revenue


$

244,133


$

236,934


Costs and expenses:








     Technology and academic services



36,306



32,051


     Counseling services and support



67,513



61,239


     Marketing and communication



50,851



47,731


     General and administrative



9,893



9,582


     Amortization of intangible assets



2,105



2,105


Total costs and expenses



166,668



152,708


Operating income



77,465



84,226


     Interest income on Secured Note





14,549


     Interest expense





(799)


     Investment interest and other



205



121


Income before income taxes



77,670



98,097


Income tax expense



19,592



19,985


Net income


$

58,078


$

78,112


Earnings per share:








     Basic income per share


$

1.67


$

1.70


     Diluted income per share


$

1.66


$

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