Interim Management Statement

Montag, 30.06.2008 12:00 von Hugin - Aufrufe: 129

McKAY SECURITIES PLC
 
INTERIM MANAGEMENT STATEMENT
 
To meet the requirements of the Disclosure and Transparency Rules,
set out below are the Chairman's Statement and the Property and
Financial Review previously issued on 6th June 2008 as part of the
Group's Preliminary Announcement of Results for the year to 31st
March 2008. These statements cover the significant developments and
events since 31st March 2008.
 
Contact
 
McKay Securities PLC - 0118 950 2333
Simon Perkins, Managing Director
Alan Childs, Finance Director
 
30th June 2008
 
CHAIRMAN'S STATEMENT
 
After a sustained period of increasing values and exceptional
returns, the commercial property market as a whole has experienced a
swift reduction in asset valuations, primarily due to tighter credit
conditions and a reassessment of its risk profile. In the summer of
2007, initial market yields on commercial property investments
reached a level lower than the cost of both the five year swap rate
and five year gilts; this coincided with the crisis in financial and
capital markets and a marked slow down from record bank lending to
the sector. The resulting fall in commercial property and corporate
values was the most rapid experienced in recent times. This shift to
higher yields had been anticipated by the Group in the actions we
were taking, and I am therefore pleased to be able to report on a
strong financial position as well as an increase in adjusted profit
before tax.
 
Adjusted profit before tax, which excludes movements in the value of
the Group's property portfolio and interest rate hedging instruments,
profit on the sale of investment properties and surrender premiums
increased by £1.16 million (16.1%) to £8.38 million (2007 - £7.22
million). Earnings per share, adjusted on the same basis, increased
by 24.4% to 18.33 pence (2007 - 14.73 pence), benefiting from the tax
savings arising from the Group's first year as a REIT. With
inclusion of the adjusted items referred to above, there was a loss
before tax of £43.40 million compared with a profit of £57.46 million
last year, and a loss per share of (94.76) pence (2007 - earnings
162.26 pence). Net asset value at the year end was 408 pence per
share (2007 - 515 pence). The year on year differences above, are
primarily due to a 12.3% (£44.54 million) reduction in the book value
of the Group's property portfolio, valued at £316.52 million at 31st
March 2008. This compares with a valuation gain last year of £43.55
million; in both cases these are unrealised movements in value.
Realised profit on the sale of investment properties over book value
was £0.31 million (2007 - £3.59 million).
 
After taking into account these factors, the Board is pleased to
recommend a final dividend of 9.6 pence per share, up 29.7% on last
years final dividend, payable on 6th August 2008 to those on the
register at the close of business on 13th June 2008. This takes the
total dividend for the year to 14.3 pence (2007 - 11 pence),
representing an increase of 30% over 2007. This increase accords with
the Board's stated intention to set a new level of dividend to
benefit from the annual tax savings arising from its conversion to a
REIT on 1st April 2007.
 
Despite the fall in property values over this last year, the Group's
strategy of generating additional value and income growth from the
refurbishment, development and management of high quality buildings
in the resilient regions of London and South East England has
resulted in a 57.1% (£115.12 million) increase in portfolio value
over the last five years. This has been achieved whilst retaining a
modest increase in the level of gearing to shareholders' funds which
at the year end was 66.0% (2007 - 46.9%).
 
To enable the Group to benefit from opportunities likely to arise in
a falling market, loan facilities were increased at the end of last
year by £35 million to £185 million, with competitive margins
maintained and the average term of the facilities on a weighted basis
extended beyond 7 years. With net debt of £123.28 million at the
year end, the Group has a surplus for new acquisitions and projects,
with a low cost of debt protected by £140 million (2007 - £110
million) of interest rate hedging instruments.
 
The Group has always had careful regard to market conditions when
considering the implementation of development projects and has
avoided significant exposure to an uncertain outlook. In view of the
current economic climate, the emphasis during the year has therefore
been to continue to acquire income producing properties with future
potential and to manage opportunities that exist within the
portfolio, whilst adopting a more cautious approach to the
implementation of larger schemes.
 
Our proactive attitude to portfolio management continued to prove
successful and good progress was made with the letting of completed
projects. A major contributor to the £1.16 million increase in
adjusted profit before tax was a £2.04 million (11.8%) gain in gross
rental income, which increased to £19.35 million. Of this increase,
£1.10 million was generated from new leases and management
initiatives, helping reduce the level of void properties to 8.2% of
the portfolio's full rental value (2007 - 12%) at the year end which
is below the sector average. Lettings of particular note during the
year were at Lotus One, Staines, Dacre House, SW1, Pegasus One,
Crawley, and Bartley House, Hook, which together with the letting of
Lotus Two, Staines since the year end, have a combined contracted
rental value of £1.95 million per annum.
 
The quality of the buildings recently completed has continued to
attract robust tenants, and at the year end the ten occupiers with
the largest lease commitments accounted for 50.1% of all contracted
rents; these were all either government departments or held the top
credit rating from the agency used by the Group to assess the risk of
default.
 
Office and industrial acquisitions at Banbury, Weybridge and
Maidenhead totalling £19.45 million inclusive of acquisition costs
were added to the portfolio during the year. These have already made
a useful income contribution which should be improved further with
planned refurbishment and management initiatives, and since the year
end an additional £8.03 million has been invested in two office
buildings at Ancells Business Park, Fleet.
 
The sale of Dacre House, SW1 and Flat 39 Parkside, SW1, realised net
proceeds of £13.50 million. Of this, £12.44 million was in respect
of Dacre House, where an excellent price was achieved reflecting a
yield to the purchaser of 5.2%. This secured a £6.63 million surplus
on cost since acquisition in 1997 which is tax free due to the
Group's REIT status. The letting of refurbished office floors had
achieved five and ten year lease terms, and with slowing rental
growth and five years until rent reviews, the decision was made to
sell the property to release funds to re-invest in opportunities with
better growth prospects.
 
Recent major schemes in the development programme were completed
prior to the current financial uncertainty, and the letting of Lotus
Two in May 2008 leaves minimal void exposure. It was intended to
follow these with the redevelopment of 30/32 Lombard Street, EC3,
where planning consent was granted in October 2007 for a high quality
58,000 sq ft office scheme, representing a 60.5% gain in net floor
space compared with the existing building. However, with increasing
supply and doubts over future rents and tenant demand within the City
market, the decision has been made to defer the scheme and maintain
income in the building until market conditions become more
favourable.
 
Other projects within the existing pipeline include the refurbishment
of office floors at Portsoken House, EC3, where lease expiries in
December this year will allow works to enhance letting prospects. It
is also intended to commence the first phase of refurbishment at the
recently acquired Maidenhead property this Autumn.
 
Board Changes
 
Michael Hawkes retired from the Board on 31st March 2008 after a
period of over 21 years, during which his incisive and astute advice
has been invaluable to the growth of the Group. As Chairman of the
Remuneration and Nomination Committees he successfully managed the
introduction of changes to the remuneration strategy last year and
has overseen the restructuring of the Board, which concludes
with his retirement. I would like to thank him on behalf of past
and present members of the Board for his wise counsel, commitment and
support.
 
Future Prospects
 
The immediate outlook is one of economic uncertainty, as the longer
term impact of the recent banking liquidity crisis in an environment
of accelerating inflationary pressures remains to be seen. Until it
becomes clearer whether rental values are likely to be significantly
affected by an economic downturn, there will be little momentum
behind both the sector and property values. Currently there is no
change in our tenants' ability to meet their lease commitments and
the fall in property values appears to be slowing. The Group's focus
on London and South East England, which are the top economic regions
in the country, and the portfolio's geographical and sector diversity
within these regions should mitigate the risk of further
deterioration.
 
We believe that the greatest relative and absolute returns from
commercial property will be generated by resilient, opportunistically
managed portfolios, combined with management and development skills
and long term finance to generate income. The cyclical nature of
property values has highlighted the importance of seeking out
acquisitions with income growth potential and matching them with
sustainable levels of debt. I am confident that the Group is
appropriately structured to continue to take advantage of the
opportunities that arise in such testing times.
 
D.O. Thomas
6th June 2008
 
Property and Financial Review
 
Overview
 
The Company continues to focus on the established and emerging office
and industrial markets of London and South East England, with the
objective of maximising income and capital growth over the long term
through active management and the implementation of refurbishment and
development projects. Completed schemes are generally held for
growth rather than being traded on and are built to a high standard
to enhance rental prospects and to attract prime tenants.
 
At 31st March 2008 the portfolio consisted of 34 properties totalling
1.32 million sq ft valued at £316.52 million, with an average lot
size of £9.31 million. 79.3% of this value was in office properties
and taking office and industrial properties together, 61.8% was
located in South East England, outside London. Acquisitions are
assessed on the potential to add value and our current mix of
properties reflects the additional value generated from recent office
developments and acquisitions.
 
The average weighted unexpired lease term of the portfolio at the
year end was 8 years, with 68.2% of all contracted rents paid by
government tenants or those considered by the rating agency, Dun and
Bradstreet, to have a net worth in excess of £15 million and a low or
minimal risk of business failure. This combination provides a secure
recurring income from the portfolio, thereby underpinning profits.
 
Market Review
 
There have been wide variations in the performance of occupier
markets across the UK over the year, but in the south east office
sector outside London, which accounts for 42.8% of the portfolio by
value, demand has remained steady with take up slightly higher than
the consistent annual level seen since 2004. Many of the popular
south eastern locations have seen rental growth as the take up of
Grade A floor space has continued. Although the pipeline of schemes
under construction has increased, the supply of better quality
buildings is likely to remain constrained.
 
The rental differential between the best space in London and other
markets in the south east continued to increase over the period.
However, rental growth slowed in London and in the City rents have
begun to fall back.
 
The Group's industrial holdings are spread across the south east
where rental growth was generally limited, although in a number of
cases proactive management activity in the portfolio resulted in
rental improvements. Overall demand and supply in this sector
changed little during the year and rental growth in the short term is
likely to remain limited due to an increase in development
completions and the removal of void rates exemption.
 
Valuation
 
The independent external valuation of the Group's property portfolio
as at 31st March 2008 totalled £316.52 million, representing a 12.3%
(£44.54 million) reduction in book value, disregarding the SIC15
lease incentive adjustment. On a sector basis, south east offices
reduced by 13.3%, London offices by 14.2% and south east industrial
property by 10.8%. The Investment Property Databank (IPD) Monthly
Index showed a reduction in value for all property for the same
period of 15.1%. The fall in values was generally across the
portfolio, although reductions in respect of Pegasus Place, Crawley
(50,035 sq ft), Corinthian House, Croydon (44,170 sq ft), 5 Acre
Estate, Folkestone (60,260 sq ft), Bartley House, Hook (21,705 sq
ft), and Lotus Park, Staines (79,135 sq ft) were mitigated by the
income gains from new lettings and improved rental values.
Disregarding the higher yield expectations applied in the valuation,
the portfolio would have increased in value by 4.1% (£13.77 million)
on a like for like basis due to management initiatives.
 
At 31st March 2008 the initial yield from the portfolio at passing
rents, after allowing for notional purchasers' costs, was 5.3%, (2007
- 4.3%), increasing to a reversionary yield of 6.9% (2007 - 5.7%).
The portfolio's equivalent yield was 6.7% (2007 - 5.6%), being the
average income return reflecting the timing of future rental
increases.
 
Portfolio Activity and Income
 
Net property income from the portfolio for the year increased by
£1.95 million (11.8%) to £18.43 million. Gross rents received,
before deducting non-recoverable property expenditure, increased by
£2.04 million to £19.35 million. The total contracted rent of the
Group's portfolio at 31st March 2008, net of ground rents, increased
by 9.4% to £20.16 million (2007 - £18.43 million) and full rental
value, net of ground rents, increased by 7.6% to £23.18 million (2007
- £21.55 million).
 
Over the course of the year the total contracted rent in respect of
all new open market lettings and lease renewals was £2.42 million,
with those at Dacre House, SW1 and Lotus Park, Staines, making
significant contributions at rental values ahead of expectations.
 
The comprehensive refurbishment of Dacre House, which completed at
the end of 2006, improved the quality of the office floors and common
parts and added additional floor space. The five resulting office
floors ranged in size between 1,850 sq ft and 2,800 sq ft, and were
marketed at a time when floors of this size were in short supply.
All the vacant space was let in the first half of the year at a total
contracted rent of £639,000 per annum. Although market conditions
were deteriorating, the property sold for £12.70 million, which
represented a profit over book value as at 30th September 2007 of
£0.19 million and a historical profit of £6.63 million since purchase
in 1997. Also sold during the year was the long leasehold interest
in Flat 39 Parkside, acquired by the tenant, realising the marriage
value from the merger of the interests and a profit over book value
at 30th September 2007 of £0.27 million taking the total profit over
book value on the sale of investment properties to £0.31 million
(2007 - £3.59 million).
 
Important progress for the Group was made at Lotus Park, Staines,
following completion in May 2007 of the major refurbishment work
undertaken to Lotus One (15,190 sq ft) and Lotus Two (19,600 sq ft).
The buildings were well received by the market and in the first half
of the year Lotus One was let on a 10 year lease to Dow Chemical
Company Ltd at a contracted rent of £425,180 pa (£28.50 psf). The
occupier interest referred to at the half year stage led to a letting
of Lotus Two shortly after the end of the financial year at a
contracted rent of £607,600pa to Salesforce.com, also on a 10 year
lease. The rent achieved represented an improvement to £31.40 psf.
This letting leaves the buildings at Lotus Park fully income
producing.
 
Also in Staines, income was maintained at Mallard Court (22,120 sq
ft) where leases were due to expire in March 2008. Existing tenants
have been retained with the exception of the top floor (5,200 sq ft)
where refurbishment work has been completed and marketing is
underway.
 
Works also completed at Corinthian House, Croydon where the 9th and
10th floors and common parts were substantially upgraded, and 12,088
sq ft is now available to let. Croydon had seen encouraging rental
growth since the property was acquired in December 2006, and a
government decision on the planning applications for the regeneration
of the regionally significant Croydon Gateway site opposite the
property is expected shortly.
 
At Pegasus Place, Crawley the ground floor of Pegasus One (4,620 sq
ft) was let on a 10 year term with a tenant break clause at the end
of the fifth year. This leaves only the first floor (5,330 sq ft)
vacant. The ground floor of Bartley House, Hook was also let, and
the building is now fully income producing.
 
Other management activity within the portfolio included the upgrading
of the prominent corner retail unit at Portsoken House, EC3. A
premium of £101,000 was paid by the outgoing tenant at the end of the
last financial year and an increased rent and longer lease term has
been achieved with the new tenant. At Folkestone, improvement works
and the opening of a large DIY retail outlet between the 3 Acre and 5
Acre Industrial Estates have improved rental values, particularly at
the 5 Acre Estate where trade counter users have been prepared to pay
significantly higher rents. Improvements to the Oakwood Trade Park,
Crawley, and the McKay Trading Estate, Bicester, were also completed
which has assisted with lettings and improved rents secured. At
Bicester a new rental high has been achieved and works are ongoing to
improve Unit 2 (10,280 sq ft) which has underutilised road frontage.
 
During the first half of the year, securing acquisitions on the open
market was difficult as the prices sought offered little potential to
add value. However, two acquisitions were made off market; both have
been integrated into the portfolio and are making a positive
contribution. At Brooklands Industrial Estate, Weybridge, a good
quality 62,800 sq ft unit was acquired from Yamaha Motors (UK) Ltd on
Sopwith Drive. They leased back the office element, leaving the
remaining 38,000 sq ft of warehouse floor space to be let on
completion of sub-division works. These have now been completed, and
there is good interest in the unit. Also acquired in the first half
of the year was the Lower Cherwell Street Industrial Estate,
Banbury. The 39,980 sq ft estate which consists of 19 units with
future potential for residential or other higher value uses is
located within the town centre, close to the railway station. Since
acquisition, improvements have led to a 15% increase in rental values
and all units are occupied.
 
The rapid correction in property values between September and
December 2007 has lowered price expectations of committed vendors,
thus improving prospects for acquisitions with growth potential.
With the benefit of secured finance and falling prices, opportunities
to invest in refurbishment and development prospects are likely to be
more realistically priced once vendors accept the reality of higher
yields and the increasing cost of such projects. This was the case
at the end of the year with the acquisition of The Switchback located
to the north of Maidenhead Town Centre, taking total funds invested
in acquisitions over the year to £19.45 million. The property
consists of six two storey office units in three blocks totalling
37,380 sq ft, constructed in the early 1980's with generous car
parking. The units will be refurbished on a rolling basis as leases
expire over the next five years and, with landscape and signage
improvements, will be rebranded and marketed to increase rents.
After the year end, a further acquisition was made of the freehold of
two good quality office buildings with excellent car parking
totalling 21,155 sq ft at a price of £7.6 million before costs
(initial yield 7.3%), at the entrance to Ancells Business Park, just
off Junction 4A of the M3 motorway at Fleet. The buildings are
under-rented and should show growth from the current average passing
rent of £16.60 psf. In addition, planning consent has been granted
in the past for a further 4,736 sq ft.
 
Within the future development pipeline is the potential redevelopment
of 30/32 Lombard Street, EC2, where planning consent was granted in
October 2007 for a top quality 58,000 sq ft office scheme on this
prime City location. In addition to completed and vacant stock in
the City there is a large supply of new buildings due to come to the
market over the next two years at a time of questionable demand from
financial institutions and related parties, which has already put
downward pressure on rents. Current market conditions in the City
for this type of scheme are therefore not favourable and income will
be maintained until circumstances change.
 
The expiry of leases at Access House, Newbury (17,040 sq ft), Castle
Lane, SW1 (14,180 sq ft), and Portsoken House, EC3 (47,000 sq ft)
over the next nine months will provide the opportunity to refurbish a
number of floors. The most significant in terms of capital
commitment is Portsoken House, where general improvement works will
upgrade the floor space to improve on passing rents in the region of
£22 psf.
 
Finance
 
As at 31st March 2008, the Group's net debt was £123.28 million (2007
- £110.77 million) representing 66.0% of shareholders' funds (2007 -
46.9%). The increased level of debt was due primarily to
acquisitions and capital expenditure incurred mainly in the
refurbishment of Lotus Park, Staines and Corinthian House,
Croydon. After taking into account sales of £13.50 million (2007 -
£22.57 million), the net investment in the portfolio for the year was
£8.60 million (2007 - £0.94 million).
 
The opportunity was taken in the Autumn to increase the size of four
of the Group's bank facilities. Despite the difficulties faced by the
banking sector at the time, this was completed with existing lenders
at the same or improved margins. As a result, total bank facilities
available to the Group increased by £35 million to £185 million at
the year end, and the average weighted unexpired term to maturity
increased to 7.7 years. If fully drawn, gearing to shareholders'
funds would increase to 99% (2007 - 63.6%).
 
The ratio of drawn debt to portfolio value at 31st March 2008 was
38.9% (2007 - 31.5%). Net cash flow from operating activities was
£2.13 million (2007 - £1.88 million) and interest cover, based on
adjusted profit before tax plus finance costs as a ratio to finance
costs, was 2.2 (2007 - 2.0).
 
Following adoption of REIT status on 1st April 2007, the Group is tax
exempt in respect of capital gains and all qualifying rental income
which includes the majority of the Group's activities. There is no
tax charge this year in respect of residual income from activities
outside of the REIT regime, as the minimal income has been offset by
relevant costs.
 
As a REIT, the Company is required to distribute at least 90% of
rental income profits arising each financial year by way of a
Property Income Distribution (PID), which, subject to certain
exemptions, is made after deduction of withholding tax; at present
20%. Therefore all dividends must now be allocated between PIDs and
non PIDs. Of the final dividend of 9.6 pence per share, 6.95 pence
will be paid as a PID; after deduction of withholding tax, the net
receipt per share will be 8.21 pence. The PID distribution for the
full year will be 10.45 pence of the total dividend of 14.3 pence.
 
The main financial risks to the Group are tenant default, liquidity
and interest rate movements on bank borrowings. Tenant default is
monitored using Dun & Bradstreet credit checks for new tenants,
together with ongoing credit checks and strict internal credit
control. This, together with close management of rental income and
suppliers, ensures the Group's ability to generate income to meet its
commitments. Liquidity risk is managed through a mixture of short
and long term committed facilities that ensure sufficient funds are
available to cover potential liabilities arising against projected
cash flows. Protection against interest rate risk is provided by
financial hedging instruments. At the year end £140 million (2007 -
£110 million) was protected by such instruments with maturities
ranging between 2015 and 2032; if bank borrowing facilities were
fully drawn, cover would be 75.7% (2007 - 73.3%). The increase in
hedging instruments was considered prudent, especially during such
uncertain times in the financial markets, and has contributed to the
Group's low weighted average cost of borrowing for the year of 5.4%
(2007 - 5.8%). The Group does not hedge account its interest rate
derivatives and therefore includes the movement in fair value in the
Income Statement.
 
S.C. Perkins
A.S. Childs
6th June 2008
 
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