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Trump will den freien Welthandel mit Importsteuern und anderen Maßnahmen einschränken. Auch dem transpazifischen Handelsabkommen TPP hat er eine Absage erteilt.
Die Chinesen warten unterdessen nicht darauf, was Trump von seinen großspurigen Ankündigungen wahr werden lässt, sondern ergreifen selber die Initiative: China scheint davon auszugehen, dass Trumps Konzept USA in die Isolation führt. Die entstehende Lücke will China mit eigener Marktführerschaft füllen. China strickt bereits ein Netz zu Nachbarländern namens Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP), mit dem das gescheiterte TPP ersetzt werden soll - allerdings ohne Beteiligung Amerikas. Nur Japan stellt sich dagegen noch quer.
Trumps rückwärts gerichtete Politik könnte - wider Konsenserwartung - den eh schon in Ansätzen zu beobachtenden Niedergang der USA als führende Weltwirtschaftsmacht weiter beschleunigen und zur Folge haben, dass China endgültig zur Nr. 1 der Weltwirtschaft aufrückt.
Die Börse versteigt sich bislang noch in die Illusion, Trumps Politik werde USA nützen. Damit geht sie letztlich seiner in vielen Punkten substanzlosen Wahlpropaganda auf dem Leim. Die Entzauberung Trumps ist, soweit nicht schon geschehen, nur noch eine Frage der Zeit. So unbeliebt, wie Trump bei den amerikanischen Neocon-Milliardären (der eigentlichen Macht in USA) ist, dürfte er noch während der ersten 100 Tage seiner Präsidentschaft "demontiert" werden - außer er frisst wider Erwarten Kreide und heult mit den Wölfen.
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www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/...waiting-for-trump-on-trade
The World Isn’t Waiting for Trump on Trade
China and other nations are already developing their own initiatives and blocs.
During the campaign, Donald Trump slammed current and potential U.S. free-trade deals, called for possible tariffs on China, Mexico, and other countries, and promised to use the presidential bully pulpit to attack companies that outsource. In the transition, he’s appointed a U.S. trade representative known for fighting to impose punitive tariffs, lashed out at companies he believes have outsourced jobs from America, and created a special office on trade and industrial policy to be led by an extremely harsh critic of free trade. ..[He] has already triggered a counterreaction in global trade and business, showing that other countries aren’t going to wait for him to act. They’ll go ahead and determine their own economic futures.
.
The biggest beneficiary may be China, which is positioning itself as the defender of the global economic order. In a speech to the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation forum in late November, Chinese President Xi Jinping, obviously commenting on Trump’s election, urged Asian and Pacific nations to “deepen and expand cooperation in our region” and announced that, no matter what happens in the U.S., Beijing would take the lead on promoting global economic ties.
Despite Trump’s investments and branding deals across South and East Asia, many business leaders and economic officials in the region feared his election. One of their greatest concerns is likely to come to pass: Trump has vowed to withdraw the U.S. from the biggest potential free-trade deal, the Trans-Pacific Partnership, on his first day in office. A few Asia-Pacific leaders called on TPP signatories to finalize the deal even without the U.S. in it, but Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe denounced that idea, saying the “TPP is meaningless without the United States.” (A.L.: Japan sollte seine US-Hörigkeit aufgeben, ebenso das EU-Parlament. Unter Trump wird USA abwirtschaften.)
Only days after Trump’s election, leaders from Australia, Malaysia, and other nations that promoted the TPP changed course and embraced a rival China-led agreement, known as the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership, which Beijing has been pushing for years. The RCEP, which pointedly excludes the U.S., would allow China much more influence to set regional trade rules and norms....
Many Asian nations—long
Die Chinesen warten unterdessen nicht darauf, was Trump von seinen großspurigen Ankündigungen wahr werden lässt, sondern ergreifen selber die Initiative: China scheint davon auszugehen, dass Trumps Konzept USA in die Isolation führt. Die entstehende Lücke will China mit eigener Marktführerschaft füllen. China strickt bereits ein Netz zu Nachbarländern namens Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP), mit dem das gescheiterte TPP ersetzt werden soll - allerdings ohne Beteiligung Amerikas. Nur Japan stellt sich dagegen noch quer.
Trumps rückwärts gerichtete Politik könnte - wider Konsenserwartung - den eh schon in Ansätzen zu beobachtenden Niedergang der USA als führende Weltwirtschaftsmacht weiter beschleunigen und zur Folge haben, dass China endgültig zur Nr. 1 der Weltwirtschaft aufrückt.
Die Börse versteigt sich bislang noch in die Illusion, Trumps Politik werde USA nützen. Damit geht sie letztlich seiner in vielen Punkten substanzlosen Wahlpropaganda auf dem Leim. Die Entzauberung Trumps ist, soweit nicht schon geschehen, nur noch eine Frage der Zeit. So unbeliebt, wie Trump bei den amerikanischen Neocon-Milliardären (der eigentlichen Macht in USA) ist, dürfte er noch während der ersten 100 Tage seiner Präsidentschaft "demontiert" werden - außer er frisst wider Erwarten Kreide und heult mit den Wölfen.
-------------------
www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/...waiting-for-trump-on-trade
The World Isn’t Waiting for Trump on Trade
China and other nations are already developing their own initiatives and blocs.
During the campaign, Donald Trump slammed current and potential U.S. free-trade deals, called for possible tariffs on China, Mexico, and other countries, and promised to use the presidential bully pulpit to attack companies that outsource. In the transition, he’s appointed a U.S. trade representative known for fighting to impose punitive tariffs, lashed out at companies he believes have outsourced jobs from America, and created a special office on trade and industrial policy to be led by an extremely harsh critic of free trade. ..[He] has already triggered a counterreaction in global trade and business, showing that other countries aren’t going to wait for him to act. They’ll go ahead and determine their own economic futures.
.
The biggest beneficiary may be China, which is positioning itself as the defender of the global economic order. In a speech to the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation forum in late November, Chinese President Xi Jinping, obviously commenting on Trump’s election, urged Asian and Pacific nations to “deepen and expand cooperation in our region” and announced that, no matter what happens in the U.S., Beijing would take the lead on promoting global economic ties.
Despite Trump’s investments and branding deals across South and East Asia, many business leaders and economic officials in the region feared his election. One of their greatest concerns is likely to come to pass: Trump has vowed to withdraw the U.S. from the biggest potential free-trade deal, the Trans-Pacific Partnership, on his first day in office. A few Asia-Pacific leaders called on TPP signatories to finalize the deal even without the U.S. in it, but Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe denounced that idea, saying the “TPP is meaningless without the United States.” (A.L.: Japan sollte seine US-Hörigkeit aufgeben, ebenso das EU-Parlament. Unter Trump wird USA abwirtschaften.)
Only days after Trump’s election, leaders from Australia, Malaysia, and other nations that promoted the TPP changed course and embraced a rival China-led agreement, known as the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership, which Beijing has been pushing for years. The RCEP, which pointedly excludes the U.S., would allow China much more influence to set regional trade rules and norms....
Many Asian nations—long
